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Final Rasmussen Poll Results - 2010 Governor Elections

After the votes have been cast each election season, Rasmussen Reports publicly displays a side-by-side comparison showing its final race polling versus the actual election results in each state. Below is a comparison chart for the 2010 Gubernatorial mid-terms. 

According to noted national political analyst Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, “This was one tough election to poll and forecast, and no one came close to getting all the races right. But from my vantage point, Rasmussen Reports caught the major trends of the election year nationally and in most states.”

Rasmussen Reports evaluates its overall survey performance in a series of post-election articles, including Election 2010: How Did We Do?A Look At Polling in the Toss-Up States and What’s Up With Nevada?  Scott Rasmussen also reviewed the mid-terms in a recent Washington Examiner  article. 

 

Note: Actual results are as of 10:45 p.m. on November 16, 2010 and are subject to change.

State

Candidates

Actual Results

Final Rasmussen Results

Date of Last RR Poll

Alabama

Robert Bentley (R)

58%

55%

09/21/10

 

Ron Sparks (D) 

42%

35%

 
         

Alaska 

Sean Parnell (R)

59%

52%

10/13/10

 

Ethan Berkowitz (D)

38%

39%

 
         

Arizona

Jan Brewer (R)

55%

53%

10/28/10

 

Terry Goddard (D) 

42%

39%

 
         

Arkansas

Jim Keet (R) 

34%

38%

10/28/10

 

Mike Beebe (D)

64%

60%

 
         

California

Meg Whitman (R) 

42%

45%

10/27/10

 

Jerry Brown (D)

53%

49%

 
         

Colorado

Dan Maes (R)

11%

5%

10/28/10

 

John Hickenlooper (D) 

51%

47%

 
 

Tom Tancredo (ACP)

37%

42%

 
         

Connecticut 

Thomas Foley (R)

49%

48%

10/31/10

 

Dan Malloy (D)

50%

46%

 
         

Florida

Rick Scott (R)

49%

48%

10/27/10

 

Alex Sink (D)

48%

45%

 
         

Georgia 

Nathan Deal (R)

53%

49%

10/24/10

 

Roy Barnes(D)

43%

39%

 
 

John Monds (I)

4%

5%

 
         

Hawaii 

Duke Aiona (R)

41%

47%

10/13/10

 

Neil Abercrombie (D)

58%

49%

 
         

Idaho

C.L. "Butch" Otter (R)

59%

52%

08/31/10

 

Keith Allred (D) 

33%

36%

 
         

Illinois 

Bill Brady (R)

46%

45%

10/20/10

 

Pat Quinn (D) 

47%

37%

 
 

Rich Whitney (G)

3%

2%

 
 

Scott Lee Cohen (I)

4%

6%

 
         

Iowa

Terry Branstad (R)

53%

55%

09/23/10

 

Chet Culver (D) 

43%

37%

 
         

Kansas

Sam Brownback (R)

63%

57%

08/04/10

 

Tom Holland (D) 

32%

34%

 
         

Maine

Paul LePage (R)

38%

40%

10/26/10

 

Libby Mitchell (D)

19%

26%

 
 

Eliot Cutler (I)

36%

26%

 
         

Maryland

Bob Ehrlich (R)

42%

42%

10/24/10

 

Martin O'Malley  (D) 

56%

52%

 
         

Massachusetts

Charlie Baker (R)

42%

44%

10/27/10

 

Deval Patrick (D)

48%

46%

 
 

Tim Cahill (I)

8%

6%

 
         

Michigan

Rick Snyder (R)

58%

54%

10/17/10

 

Virg Bernero (D) 

40%

34%

 
         

Minnesota

Tom Emmer (R)

43%

41%

10/20/10

 

Mark Dayton (D)

44%

44%

 
 

Tom Horner (I)

12%

10%

 
         

Nebraska

Dave Heineman (R)

74%

66%

10/07/10

 

Mike Meister (D)

26%

24%

 
         

Nevada

Brian Sandoval (R)

53%

58%

10/25/10

 

Rory Reid (D)

42%

35%

 
         

New Hampshire

John Stephen (R)

45%

45%

10/27/10

 

John Lynch (D)

53%

51%

 
         

New Mexico

Susana Martinez (R)

54%

52%

10/26/10

 

Diane Denish (D)

46%

42%

 
         

New York

Carl Paladino (R)

34%

37%

10/19/10

 

Andrew Cuomo (D)

61%

51%

 
         

Ohio

John Kasich (R)

49%

48%

10/26/10

 

Ted Strickland (D) 

47%

44%

 
         

Oklahoma

Mary Fallin (R)

60%

60%

09/23/10

 

Jari Askins (D)

40%

34%

 
         

Oregon

Chris Dudley (R)

48%

49%

10/25/10

 

John Kitzhaber (D) 

49%

46%

 
         

Pennsylvania 

Tom Corbett (R)

54%

52%

10/28/10

 

Dan Onorato (D)

45%

43%

 
         

Rhode Island

John Robitaille (R)

34%

25%

10/21/10

 

Frank Caprio (D)

23%

28%

 
 

Lincoln Chafee (I)

36%

35%

 
 

Ken Block (M)

6%

6%

 
         

South Carolina

Nikki Haley (R)

51%

47%

10/19/10

 

Vincent Sheehan (D)

47%

38%

 
         

South Dakota

Dennis Daugaard (R)

61%

55%

10/20/10

 

Scott Heidepriem (D)

38%

36%

 
         

Tennessee

Bill Haslam (R)

65%

59%

10/07/10

 

Mike McWherter (D)

33%

31%

 
         

Texas

Rick Perry (R)

55%

51%

10/21/10

 

Bill White (D)

42%

42%

 
         

Utah

Gary Herbert (R)

64%

66%

10/13/10

 

Peter Corroon  (D)

32%

29%

 
         

Vermont

Brian Dubie (R)

48%

45%

10/28/10

 

Peter Shumlin (D)

50%

50%

 
         

Wisconsin

Scott Walker (R)

52%

52%

10/25/10

 

Tom Barrett (D)

47%

42%

 
         

Wyoming

Matt Mead (R)

72%

61%

09/30/10

 

Leslie Peterson (D) 

25%

25%

 

See Election 2010 Senate Results