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Election 2010: Hawaii Governor

Hawaii Governor: Abercrombie (D), Aiona (R) In Near Tie

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Former Democratic Congressman Neil Abercrombie and Republican Lieutenant Governor Duke Aiona are now virtually tied in the race to be Hawaii’s next governor.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Aloha State shows Abercrombie picking up 49% of the vote, while Aiona earns 47% support. One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

These numbers move the race from Solid Democrat to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

In late June, Abercrombie held a 58% to 32% lead over Aiona. The first survey of the race in March found Abercrombie, a congressman for nearly 20 years who stepped down to run for governor, leading Aiona 54% to 31%.

Abercrombie defeated former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann in the state's September 18 Democratic Primary to be the party's gubernatorial nominee. Aiona faced no serious opposition in the GOP Primary on the same day.

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This survey of 500 Likely Voters in Hawaii was conducted on October 13, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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