Former President Barack Obama liked to quote the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.'s line that "the arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice." Of course, what was an expression of optimism for the moral reformer King was more in the nature of a victory spike of the football for a competitor in a zero-sum electoral contest like Obama.
— Because the presidential party usually loses ground in the House in midterms, it is also the case that they typically flip only a handful of seats from the non-presidential party in such elections.
— Still, Republicans have a decent chance to flip a larger-than-average number of Democratic-held seats in 2026, mainly because of redistricting.
— Beyond seats affected by redistricting, though, history and other factors suggest Republicans will have a hard time significantly cutting into Democratic districts unaffected by redistricting.
— We are moving 11 ratings this week, all in current Democratic-held districts and all in favor of Democrats.
— Democrats remain favored to win the House majority this year, although today’s changes do not impact the overall House math much.
Politicians say they can "make the economy work better."
For most of the last 40 years, pollsters have asked voters: Which party do you trust more on health care? The answer has been pretty much the same over this whole period. Voters trust Democrats more, sometimes by a two-to-one margin.
Democrats who want to defund Immigration and Customs Enforcement aren't getting away with the political hostage-taking they're using to do it.
Four years and 25 days. Twenty days. There's a huge difference between those two numbers. The first number -- 1,486 days altogether -- is the length of time since Russian troops crossed the Ukraine border on Feb. 22, 2022, and headed for Kyiv. The second number -- just 20 days -- is the number of days since U.S. and Israeli forces on Feb. 28 began bombing strategic targets in Iran.
— We are making six gubernatorial race rating changes this week, all in favor of Democrats.
— The most notable ones come in Arizona, Georgia, and Ohio, while the others are blue state governorships in Minnesota, New York, and Rhode Island moving to Safe Democratic.
— Despite these changes, Republicans may still be better-positioned to maintain an overall advantage in governorships held, and thus defy the usual trend of gubernatorial losses for the president’s party in midterms.
Do you eat steak? You're killing the planet! So say climate activists.
Early this year, we learned that Elon Musk may become the first trillionaire in world history.
Next time your flight's delayed or canceled, or you're stuck in an endless TSA line, thank a congressional Democrat.
As Donald Trump's Republicans look askance as he launches what looks to some like another long-term war in the Middle East, and as the anti-Trump Democrats hold up Homeland Security funding in what looks to some like prioritizing illegal immigrants over U.S. citizens, one is tempted to ask, what's going on with America's political parties?
— In Texas, Rep. Wesley Hunt’s (R, TX-38) presence in the GOP Senate primary likely hurt Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) on balance.
— However, Hunt’s performance was not distinctively strong anywhere in the state, as he even came in third place in the district he represents.
— Overall, Democrats outvoted Republicans in Texas by 3 points, making 2026 the first midterm cycle since 2002 where Democrats cast more ballots in Texas.
— In North Carolina, Democrats outvoted Republicans by an even larger 57%-43%, even as they have fallen behind both Unaffiliateds and Republicans in their share of the state’s overall voter registration.
Why are young Americans turning toward socialism? A recent survey from Rasmussen Reports reveals a striking generational divide: younger Americans are far more likely than older voters to view socialism favorably.
Given the energy disruptions in the Middle East and the topsy-turvy fluctuation in the price of crude oil in recent weeks, here are a few facts about the energy scene.
President Donald Trump has shown Cuba's communist rulers two ways their reign over the island can end: the Maduro way or the Khamenei way.
History doesn't always repeat itself, or even rhyme. People sometimes learn from experience, their own or others'.
Last year, California wildfires destroyed 13,000 homes.
Should the revenues made by big-time college athletics be "shared" by all the schools? Do we want "revenue-sharing" socialism to come to college football and basketball? Many in Congress are answering yes to that question.
When a 41-year-old mother is murdered at a bus stop, who bothers to protest?
