Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

April 24, 2025Generic Ballot Model Gives Democrats Strong Chance to Take Back House in 2026 By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Just a couple of basic factors—House generic ballot polling and the number of seats the presidential party is defending—do a decent job of predicting midterm congressional election results.
— This model suggests Democrats would be favored to win the House majority even without a substantial lead in House generic ballot polling.
— The model also is bullish on Democrats in the Senate, but we urge caution on the findings, as the Senate model is historically less predictive than the House model and does not take into account this cycle’s specific Senate map.

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                            April 23, 2025Living Hell? By John Stossel
"Climate change will make earth a living hell!" claims popular astrophysicist Neil DeGrasse Tyson.

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                            April 23, 2025Is the Bloom Fading from Trump’s Rose? By Brian C. Joondeph
Rasmussen Reports released a concerning poll last week, revealing that at the three-month mark in President Donald Trump’s second term, a slim majority of voters are unhappy with the results thus far.

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                            April 22, 2025After Francis, Catholics Need a Populist Pope By Daniel McCarthy
Pope Francis was meant to be a pontiff for the age of globalization.

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                            April 22, 2025Sorry, Fannie Mae: We Won't Get Fooled Again
Anyone remember back in 2008 when the housing market collapsed and the stock market crashed, with many tens of millions of Americans seeing their lifetime savings nearly wiped out?

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                            April 18, 2025Why Does Union Membership Keep Declining? By Michael Barone
It hardly qualifies as news anymore, but according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, union membership declined from 2023 to 2024, going from 10% to 9.9% of wage and salary workers. Some 32% of public employees are union members compared to only 5.9% of private-sector workers, down from 6% in 2023.

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                            April 16, 2025Washington's Latest Tax Assault on Economic Success By Stephen Moore
The PE and VC track records in funding small businesses and turning them into the future gazelles is almost a uniquely American success story.

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                            April 16, 2025Climate Myths By John Stossel
I guess United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres didn't think his hyping global warming risks brought him enough attention, so now he says, "The era of global boiling has arrived!"

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                            April 15, 2025Is Luigi Mangione the Left's Donald Trump? By Daniel McCarthy
On CNN, approving of murder is hardly any worse than voting for Donald Trump.

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                            April 11, 2025Will Trump's Tariffs Move Us Back to the Constitutional Order? By Michael Barone
   It has been hard this past week, of tariffs applied worldwide on April 2 to tariffs suspended except for China on April 9, to avoid reflecting on how much trouble could have been avoided if economists, instead of talking about countries' trade surpluses and trade deficits, had devised different words -- say, "buyer-dominant" countries and "seller-dominant" countries.
April 10, 2025The House: Democrats Favored on What Starts as a Small Battlefield By Kyle Kondik
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— History suggested Democrats would be favored to flip the House in 2026 as soon as Donald Trump clinched the presidency in 2024.
— Little that’s happened over the last several months calls into question that initial, gut-level assessment. Democrats should flip the House next year, and we favor them to do so. Republicans do have a couple of factors working in their favor, though, that could help them as they seek to defy history.
— Our initial House ratings reflect a small House map, with Democrats narrowly ahead 209-207 in the seats that at least lean to one party or the other, with 19 Toss-ups.

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                            April 9, 2025Political Money-Grab By John Stossel
   Did you bet on March Madness?

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                            April 9, 2025Big, Beautiful Tax Cuts Should Offset Any Tariff Increases By Stephen Moore
   President Donald Trump has predicted that his tariffs could raise as much as $6 trillion over the next decade in federal tax collections. These include up to 104% tariffs on China, plus the combination of reciprocal tariffs -- we charge them whatever they charge us. Also, don't forget the protectionist tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos, lumber, etc.

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                            April 8, 2025Tariffs Are a Reason to Cut Taxes and Red Tape By Daniel McCarthy
   If there's one thing supporters and opponents of President Donald Trump's tariffs should agree on, it's the need to unchain prosperity at home while international trade is in flux.

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                            April 4, 2025Trump Seems Bent on Political Self-Harm By Michael Barone
        Is President Donald Trump bent on political self-harm? It often seems that way. His overall job approval rating still hovers within a point or two of the 50% popular vote he received last November. But he is losing support on the economy and inflation, the No. 1 issue last year, while his overwhelming success in reducing illegal immigration has reduced the salience of what was the No. 2 issue.

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                            April 3, 2025Time for Trump’s 3-Month Job Review By Brian C. Joondeph
President Donald Trump is 75 days into his second term, not yet three months. Many companies place new hires on probationary status for their first three months, during which a review is conducted to ensure that both the employee and employer are satisfied and ready to continue their working relationship.

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                            April 2, 2025Lawn Gone Liberty: The Update By John Stossel
It's finally spring.

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                            April 2, 2025Why Democrats Hate DOGE and Love Waste By Stephen Moore
If you haven't watched the Bret Baier interviews on Fox News with Elon Musk and the other executives who have given their time and expertise to exposing the rampant fraud and inefficiency of our federal government, I urge you to do so.

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                            April 1, 2025Lawfare Isn't Beaten -- In France or America By Daniel McCarthy
Elections are supposed to be decided at the ballot box, not in the courtroom -- unless you're French, or, in this country, a liberal.

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                            March 28, 2025Abundance Versus 'Everything Bagel' Liberalism By Michael Barone
   "Imagine boarding a train in the center of a city," former President Barack Obama rhapsodized in April 2009. "No racing to an airport and across a terminal, no delays, no sitting on the tarmac, no lost luggage, no taking off your shoes. Imagine whisking through towns at speeds over 100 miles an hour, walking only a few steps to public transportation, and ending up just blocks from your destination."