Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
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                            April 30, 2025Good Intentions: Bad Results By John Stossel
Government makes most things worse.

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                            April 30, 2025Trump's FTC Is Putting American Companies Last By Stephen Moore
President Donald Trump's record as the deregulation president is nearly unparalleled. In his first 100 days in office, he has already identified hundreds of billions of dollars of potential deregulation savings in the areas of energy, education and housing.
April 30, 2025The Governors, Part One: Democrats Start as Favorites in 2025 New Jersey and Virginia Races By J. Miles Coleman
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— While 2026 will feature three dozen gubernatorial contests, two states, New Jersey and Virginia, will elect governors in open-seat races this year.
— We are starting out both 2025 contests, which are in states that backed Kamala Harris by nearly 6 points apiece, as Leans Democratic.
— In New Jersey, Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D, NJ-11) is a tenuous favorite for the Democratic nomination amidst a crowded field, while 2021 GOP nominee Jack Ciattarelli is a stronger favorite on his side.
— Neither Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R-VA) nor former Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D, VA-7) have primary competition, so Virginia’s race is in general election mode earlier than usual.

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                            April 29, 2025Don't Make Ukraine Another Vietnam By Daniel McCarthy
Fifty years ago on April 30, Saigon fell to the North Vietnamese, and the defeat was America's, too.

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                            April 25, 2025Reality Has a Vote, in Politics as in Entertainment By Michael Barone
Reality has a vote. That is one lesson administered to the body of politics in the first 100 days of President Donald Trump's second administration.
April 24, 2025Generic Ballot Model Gives Democrats Strong Chance to Take Back House in 2026 By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Just a couple of basic factors—House generic ballot polling and the number of seats the presidential party is defending—do a decent job of predicting midterm congressional election results.
— This model suggests Democrats would be favored to win the House majority even without a substantial lead in House generic ballot polling.
— The model also is bullish on Democrats in the Senate, but we urge caution on the findings, as the Senate model is historically less predictive than the House model and does not take into account this cycle’s specific Senate map.

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                            April 23, 2025Living Hell? By John Stossel
"Climate change will make earth a living hell!" claims popular astrophysicist Neil DeGrasse Tyson.

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                            April 23, 2025Is the Bloom Fading from Trump’s Rose? By Brian C. Joondeph
Rasmussen Reports released a concerning poll last week, revealing that at the three-month mark in President Donald Trump’s second term, a slim majority of voters are unhappy with the results thus far.

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                            April 22, 2025After Francis, Catholics Need a Populist Pope By Daniel McCarthy
Pope Francis was meant to be a pontiff for the age of globalization.

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                            April 22, 2025Sorry, Fannie Mae: We Won't Get Fooled Again
Anyone remember back in 2008 when the housing market collapsed and the stock market crashed, with many tens of millions of Americans seeing their lifetime savings nearly wiped out?

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                            April 18, 2025Why Does Union Membership Keep Declining? By Michael Barone
It hardly qualifies as news anymore, but according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, union membership declined from 2023 to 2024, going from 10% to 9.9% of wage and salary workers. Some 32% of public employees are union members compared to only 5.9% of private-sector workers, down from 6% in 2023.

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                            April 16, 2025Washington's Latest Tax Assault on Economic Success By Stephen Moore
The PE and VC track records in funding small businesses and turning them into the future gazelles is almost a uniquely American success story.

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                            April 16, 2025Climate Myths By John Stossel
I guess United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres didn't think his hyping global warming risks brought him enough attention, so now he says, "The era of global boiling has arrived!"

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                            April 15, 2025Is Luigi Mangione the Left's Donald Trump? By Daniel McCarthy
On CNN, approving of murder is hardly any worse than voting for Donald Trump.

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                            April 11, 2025Will Trump's Tariffs Move Us Back to the Constitutional Order? By Michael Barone
   It has been hard this past week, of tariffs applied worldwide on April 2 to tariffs suspended except for China on April 9, to avoid reflecting on how much trouble could have been avoided if economists, instead of talking about countries' trade surpluses and trade deficits, had devised different words -- say, "buyer-dominant" countries and "seller-dominant" countries.
April 10, 2025The House: Democrats Favored on What Starts as a Small Battlefield By Kyle Kondik
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— History suggested Democrats would be favored to flip the House in 2026 as soon as Donald Trump clinched the presidency in 2024.
— Little that’s happened over the last several months calls into question that initial, gut-level assessment. Democrats should flip the House next year, and we favor them to do so. Republicans do have a couple of factors working in their favor, though, that could help them as they seek to defy history.
— Our initial House ratings reflect a small House map, with Democrats narrowly ahead 209-207 in the seats that at least lean to one party or the other, with 19 Toss-ups.

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                            April 9, 2025Political Money-Grab By John Stossel
   Did you bet on March Madness?

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                            April 9, 2025Big, Beautiful Tax Cuts Should Offset Any Tariff Increases By Stephen Moore
   President Donald Trump has predicted that his tariffs could raise as much as $6 trillion over the next decade in federal tax collections. These include up to 104% tariffs on China, plus the combination of reciprocal tariffs -- we charge them whatever they charge us. Also, don't forget the protectionist tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos, lumber, etc.

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                            April 8, 2025Tariffs Are a Reason to Cut Taxes and Red Tape By Daniel McCarthy
   If there's one thing supporters and opponents of President Donald Trump's tariffs should agree on, it's the need to unchain prosperity at home while international trade is in flux.

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                            April 4, 2025Trump Seems Bent on Political Self-Harm By Michael Barone
        Is President Donald Trump bent on political self-harm? It often seems that way. His overall job approval rating still hovers within a point or two of the 50% popular vote he received last November. But he is losing support on the economy and inflation, the No. 1 issue last year, while his overwhelming success in reducing illegal immigration has reduced the salience of what was the No. 2 issue.