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Election 2010: Massachusetts Governor

Massachusetts Governor: Patrick (D), Baker (R) Nearly Tied

Friday, October 29, 2010

The Massachusetts governor’s race is now closer than it has been all year.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds incumbent Democratic Governor Deval Patrick with 46% support, while Republican challenger Charlie Baker gets 44% of the vote. Democrat-turned-Independent Tim Cahill remains a distant third with six percent (6%). Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, but just one percent (1%) is still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race now moves from Leans Democrat to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

Less than two weeks ago, Patrick held a 47% to 42% lead over Baker. The incumbent has led the field in surveys since March, but Baker broke out of the 30s in mid-September as support for Cahill began to fade.

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 27, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Platinum subscribers, with access to much more details of these poll results, also will learn:

  • Jobs have been a big issue in this race. But Massachusetts voters have more trust in one candidate when it comes to the economy and jobs.
  • Most voters think all the candidates are in the mainstream, but they rate one as more mainstream than the others.
  •  Unaffiliated voters have a clear preference in the race.


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To learn more about our methodology, click here.