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Final Rasmussen Poll Results - 2010 Senate Elections

After the votes have been cast each election season, Rasmussen Reports publicly displays a side-by-side comparison showing its final race polling versus the actual election results in each state. Below is a comparison chart for the 2010 Senate mid-terms. 

According to noted national political analyst Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, “This was one tough election to poll and forecast, and no one came close to getting all the races right. But from my vantage point, Rasmussen Reports caught the major trends of the election year nationally and in most states.”

Rasmussen Reports evaluates its overall survey performance in a series of post-election articles, including Election 2010: How Did We Do?A Look At Polling in the Toss-Up States and What’s Up With Nevada?  Scott Rasmussen also reviewed the mid-terms in a recent Washington Examiner  article. 

 

Note: Actual results are as of 10:30 a.m. on November 17, 2010 and are subject to change.

State

Candidates

Actual Results

Final Rasmussen Results

Date of Last RR Poll

Alabama

Richard Shelby (R)

65%

58%

9/21/2010

 

Roy Barnes (D) 

35%

30%

         

Alaska 

Joe Miller (R)

35%

35%

10/13/2010

 

Scott McAdams (D)

23%

27%

 

Lisa Murkowski

40%

34%

         

Arizona

John McCain (R)

59%

52%

10/28/2010

 

Rodney Glassman (D) 

35%

32%

         

Arkansas

John Boozman (R) 

58%

55%

10/28/2010

 

Blanche Lincoln (D)

37%

36%

         

California

Carly Fiorina (R) 

42%

46%

10/27/2010

 

Barbara Boxer (D)

52%

49%

         

Colorado

Ken Buck (R)

47%

48%

 

10/25/2010

 

Michael Bennett (D) 

48%

44%

         

Connecticut 

Linda McMahon (R)

43%

46%

10/31/2010

 

Richard Blumenthal (D)

55%

53%

         

Delaware

Christine O'Donnell (R)

40%

40%

10/14/2010

 

Chris Coons (D) 

57%

51%

         

Florida

Marco Rubio (R)

49%

50%

10/27/2010

 

Kendrick Meek (D)

20%

16%

 

Charlie Crist (I)

30%

30%

         

Georgia 

Johnny Isakson (R)

58%

59%

10/24/2010

 

Michael Thurmond (D)

39%

29%

 

Chuck Donovan (I)

 

5%

         

Hawaii 

Cam Cavasso (R)

22%

40%

10/13/2010

 

Daniel Inouye (D)

75%

53%

         

Idaho

Mike Crapo (R)

71%

63%

8/31/2010

 

Tom Sullivan (D) 

25%

24%

         

Illinois 

Mark Kirk (R)

48%

46%

10/26/2010

 

Alexi Giannoulias (D) 

46%

42%

 

LeAlan Jones (G)

 

5%

 
         

Indiana

Dan Coats (R)

55%

52%

10/21-22/2010

 

Brad Ellsworth (D)

40%

34%

         

Iowa

Chuck Grassley (R)

65%

55%

9/23/2010

 

Roxanne Conlin (D) 

33%

37%

         

Kansas

Jerry Moran (R)

70%

61%

8/4/2010

 

Lisa Johnston (D) 

26%

28%

         

Kentucky 

Rand Paul (R)

56%

53%

10/27/2010

 

Jack Conway (D)

44%

41%

         

Louisiana 

David Vitter (R)

57%

54%

8/30/2010

 

Charlie Melancon (D) 

38%

33%

         

Maryland

Eric Wargotz (R)

36%

38%

10/24/2010

 

Barbara Mikulski (D) 

62%

56%

         

Missouri

Roy Blunt (R)

54%

52%

10/19/2010

 

Robin Carnahan (D)

41%

43%

         

Nevada

Sharron Angle (R)

45%

49%

10/25/2010

 

Harry Reid (D)

50%

45%

         

New Hampshire

Kelly Ayotte (R)

60%

56%

10/27/2010

 

Paul Hodes (D)

37%

41%

         

New York 

Jay Townsend (R)

33%

31%

10/19/2010

 

Chuck Schumer (D)

65%

59%

         

New York Special

Joe DioGuardi (R)

36%

33%

10/19/2010

 

Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 

62%

54%

         

North Carolina

Richard Burr (R)

55%

52%

10/12/2010

 

Elaine Marshall (D)

43%

38%

         

North Dakota

John Hoeven (R)

76%

72%

10/20/2010

 

Tracy Potter (D)

22%

25%

         

Ohio

Rob Portman (R)

57%

57%

10/26/2010

 

Lee Fisher (D) 

39%

33%

         

Oklahoma

Tom Coburn (R)

71%

68%

9/23/2010

 

Jim Rogers (D)

26%

26%

         

Oregon

Jim Huffman (R)

39%

42%

10/25/2010

 

Ron Wyden (D) 

57%

53%

         

Pennsylvania 

Pat Toomey (R)

51%

50%

10/28/2010

 

Joe Sestak (D)

49%

46%

         

South Carolina

Jim DeMint (R)

62%

58%

10/19/2010

 

Alvin Greene (D)

28%

21%

         

Utah

Mike Lee (R)

62%

61%

10/13/2010

 

Sam Granato (D)

33%

28%

         

Vermont

Len Britton (R)

31%

32%

9/13/2010

 

Patrick Leahy (D)

64%

63%

         

Washington

Dino Rossi (R)

48%

48%

10/26/2010

 

Patty Murray (D) 

52%

47%

         

West Virginia

John Raese (R)

43%

46%

10/31/2010

 

Joe Manchin (D)

53%

50%

         

Wisconsin

Ron Johnson (R)

52%

53%

10/25/2010

 

Russ Feingold (D)

47%

46%

         

U.S. House of Representatives Results

 
         

North Dakota

Rick Berg (R)

55%

52%

10/18-19/2010

 

Earl Pomeroy (D)

45%

42%

         

South Dakota

Kristi Noem (R)

48%

49%

10/20/2010

 

Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D)

46%

44%

         

Vermont

Paul Beaudry (R)

32%

30%

9/13/2010

 

Peter Welch (D)

65%

64%

See 2010 Governor Results