In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows
President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).
In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.
In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows
Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.
In Maine, the race for the White House is as close as it can be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.
New Jersey looks ready to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.
The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with a ten point lead over President Bush, 51% to 41%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.
North Carolina is now home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee.
However, John Edwards has a lot of work to do if he wants to deliver that state to his party in this year's Presidential election.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with a seven point lead over Senator John F. Kerry, 49% to 42%. The survey was completed in June, before Kerry named Edwards as his running mate.
In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with a14-point lead over President George W. Bush, 52% to 38%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.
While political junkies and activists ponder every nuance of Election 2004, most Americans (55%) discuss the campaign with family and friends just once a week or less. Roughly one-in-five discuss the campaign on a daily basis.
Those who rarely or never attend Church or religious services plan to vote for Senator John Kerry over President George Bush by a 50% to 34% margin. At the other extreme, those who attend Church at least once a week will vote heavily in favor of Bush (59% to 34%).
Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 53% of American voters believe President Bush will be re-elected. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 35% take the opposite view and the Senator John Kerry will emerge victorious.