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Politics

Most Recent Releases

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July 10, 2004

Michigan: Kerry 46% Bush 44%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

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July 10, 2004

Virginia: Bush 48% Kerry 45%

In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.

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July 9, 2004

Pennsylvania: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

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July 8, 2004

Maine: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Maine, the race for the White House is as close as it can be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.

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July 8, 2004

46% Say Bush Will Win

Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 46% of all voters now believe the Bush-Cheney ticket will be re-elected while 44% say the Kerry-Edward team will win.

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July 8, 2004

Edwards Viewed More Favorably Than Cheney

Initial reaction to John Edwards shows that 46% of Likely Voters have a favorable opinion of the Democrat's Vice-Presidential candidate.

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July 8, 2004

Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 44%

In Iowa, President Bush has gained ground over the past month but still trails Senator Kerry 48% to 44%. Our last Iowa survey found Kerry leading by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%.

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July 8, 2004

Missouri: Bush 48% Kerry 44%

In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 44%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.

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July 7, 2004

Massachusetts: Kerry 60% Bush 31%

As the city of Boston prepares to welcome the Democratic Convention, Massachusetts voters prefer their home state Senator over President Bush by a 60% to 31% margin.

Four years ago, without the home state advantage, Al Gore defeated Bush in Massachusetts 60% to 33%. A month ago, the Rasmussen Reports poll found Kerry ahead 58% to 33%.

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July 7, 2004

Texas: Bush 55% Kerry 37%

In Texas, Bush now leads Massachusetts Senator John Kerry 55% to 37%. Four years ago, Bush won his home state 59% to 38%.

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July 7, 2004

Florida: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 and a toss-up for most of Election 2004 is now leaning towards Senator John Kerry.

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July 7, 2004

New Jersey: Kerry 51% Bush 41%

New Jersey looks ready to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.

The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with a ten point lead over President Bush, 51% to 41%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.

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July 6, 2004

North Carolina: Bush 49% Kerry 42%

North Carolina is now home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee. However, John Edwards has a lot of work to do if he wants to deliver that state to his party in this year's Presidential election.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with a seven point lead over Senator John F. Kerry, 49% to 42%. The survey was completed in June, before Kerry named Edwards as his running mate.

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July 5, 2004

California: Kerry 52% Bush 38%

In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with a14-point lead over President George W. Bush, 52% to 38%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.

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June 25, 2004

Illinois Senate: Obama 54% Ryan 30%

In the race to fill a U.S. Senate seat for Illinois, Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican Jack Ryan 54% to 30%. The survey was conducted for the Daily Southtown.

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June 21, 2004

Election 2004: Who's Paying Attention?

While political junkies and activists ponder every nuance of Election 2004, most Americans (55%) discuss the campaign with family and friends just once a week or less. Roughly one-in-five discuss the campaign on a daily basis.

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June 17, 2004

Fox Fans Favor Bush 65% to 28%

Among fans of the Fox News Channel, George W. Bush is winning by a landslide--65% to 28%. Those who prefer CNN also prefer Kerry by an almost identical margin (63% to 26%).

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June 17, 2004

Huge Religious Divide in Presidential Race

Those who rarely or never attend Church or religious services plan to vote for Senator John Kerry over President George Bush by a 50% to 34% margin. At the other extreme, those who attend Church at least once a week will vote heavily in favor of Bush (59% to 34%).

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June 14, 2004

44% Worried About 2004 Voting Debacle

Forty-four percent (44%) are worried that another Florida-style mess could mar Election 2004. That includes 18% who are very worried about such a possibility.

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June 11, 2004

53% Say Bush Will Win

Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 53% of American voters believe President Bush will be re-elected. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 35% take the opposite view and the Senator John Kerry will emerge victorious.