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Politics

Most Recent Releases

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August 9, 2004

Ohio: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Just one month ago, Bush held a four-point lead in the state, 46% to 42%. The month before, it was Bush 46% Kerry 44% in our Ohio poll.

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August 8, 2004

Pennsylvania: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Pennsylvania, the race for the White House is a virtual tie.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

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August 6, 2004

Michigan: Kerry 50% Bush 44%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 44%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. At that time, we considered the state a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections (we require a five-point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry ahead by six points. At that time, we moved Michigan to the "Leans Kerry" column. These latest results confirm that Michigan is still leaning slightly in the Democratic direction.

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August 6, 2004

Florida: Kerry 47% Bush 45%

Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 us a toss-up for Election 2004.

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August 6, 2004

New Jersey: Kerry 51% Bush 38%

New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.

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August 6, 2004

Oregon: Kerry 47% Bush 41%

In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 47% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.

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August 5, 2004

Arkansas: Kerry 46% Bush 46%

The race for the six Electoral College votes from Arkansas is tied.

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August 5, 2004

Among Veterans: Bush 58% Kerry 35%

A Rasmussen Reports survey shows that military veterans prefer George W. Bush over John Kerry by a 58% to 35% margin. Those with no military service favor Kerry by ten percentage points, 51% to 41%.

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August 5, 2004

New Mexico: Kerry 50% Bush 43%

Rasmussen Reports finds John Kerry with a 7-point lead over George W. Bush among New Mexico voters. Our first Election 2004 survey in the state shows Kerry with 50% of the vote, Bush with 43%, and Libertarian Michael Badnarik with 5%. Ralph Nader is not on the ballot in New Mexico.

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August 4, 2004

Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 45%

In Iowa, the latest Rasmussen Reports polling data shows Senator John Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore narrowly carried Iowa by a 49% to 48% margin.

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August 4, 2004

GA: Bush 53% Kerry 42%

In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 53% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 42%.

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August 4, 2004

Minnesota: Kerry 49% Bush 42%

In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 49% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. That's two points closer than a month ago.

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August 3, 2004

California: Kerry 55% Bush 37%

In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with an18-point lead over President George W. Bush, 55% to 37%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.

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August 3, 2004

Virginia: Bush 49% Kerry 46%

In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.

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August 3, 2004

Missouri: Bush 50% Kerry 46%

In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 50% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.

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August 3, 2004

North Carolina: Bush 53% Kerry 43%

The Bush-Cheney ticket is now enjoying its biggest lead of the year in North Carolina. The state may be home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, but its Electoral Votes look like they are once again heading into the Republican column.

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August 3, 2004

North Carolina: Bush 50% Kerry 45%

North Carolina may be home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, but its Electoral Votes currently belong to the Republican ticket of George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.

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August 1, 2004

38% See Kerry as Politically Moderate

A Rasmussen Reports survey shows that, following the Democratic National Convention, 46% of voters believe that Senator John Kerry is politically liberal. That's up from 43% in a survey conducted just before Kerry's convention speech.

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July 27, 2004

41% See Kerry as Politically Moderate

As John Kerry prepares to formally accept the Democratic Presidential nomination, 41% of likely voters see the Senator as politically moderate while 43% believe he is politically liberal.

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July 26, 2004

Clintons More Popular Than Other Party Leaders

Former President Bill Clinton and his wife, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, remain more popular than other party leaders as the 2004 Democratic National Convention begins.