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Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

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February 21, 2023

It's Now or Never for School Choice Everywhere By Stephen Moore

This story could bring tears to your eyes. In Baltimore, Maryland, there are 23 schools in which not one single student tested "proficient in math."

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February 17, 2023

Disinformation Inc vs. the Founding Fathers By Michael Barone

How many people believe, really believe, in freedom of speech? Or, as Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes wrote, not just "free thought for those who agree with us but freedom for the thought that we hate"?

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February 16, 2023

Both White and Nonwhite Democrats are Moving Left By Alan I. Abramowitz

Race, party, and ideological congruence in the American electorate.


— One of the big stories of American politics over the past half-century has been a growing ideological divide between Democrats and Republicans.

— This has also led to more ideological cohesion within parties, including a dramatic increase among Democrats between 2012 and 2020. Democrats are now as ideologically cohesive as Republicans, which is a big change from a decade ago, when Republicans were significantly more cohesive than Democrats.

— While white Democrats have moved more to the left than nonwhite Democrats have on some issues, both groups have become more liberal since 2012.

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February 15, 2023

Bureaucrats Ban Betting By John Stossel

What will happen in the future? Is there a way to know?

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February 14, 2023

What if Federal Workers Never Showed Up for Work and No One Missed Them? By Stephen Moore

This is one of the greatest federal government scandals of all time.

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February 10, 2023

Will Biden's Primary Schedule Have Unintended Consequences? By Michael Barone

For a president who proclaimed proudly in his annual speech that his policies have made the state of the union good, Joe Biden betrayed a certain insecurity when, just two days before, he caused the Democratic National Committee to change its presidential primary schedule for 2024.

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February 9, 2023

The State of Biden’s Next Campaign By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman

The president has little real opposition in his own party but remains dependent on weaknesses across the aisle.


— President Biden’s successful State of the Union address suggested he’s full speed ahead on running for a second term.

— Despite polls showing that even many Democrats would prefer Biden not to run again, he has no real opposition within his own party — and the State of the Union is unlikely to help generate any.

— Biden’s best friend is weakness within the Republican Party, which was on display once again on Tuesday night.

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February 8, 2023

Mike Pompeo Versus Libertarians By John Stossel

 Former CIA Director and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will probably run for president.

February 7, 2023

Why Have So Many People 'Died Suddenly'? By Brian C Joondeph

The Twitter hashtag #DiedSuddenly has been trending based on the plethora of sudden and unexplained deaths among the young and healthy over the past two years. Stories abound and here are a few found at the time of this writing.

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February 3, 2023

We Don't Need Racial Quotas to Showcase America's Diversity By Michael Barone

   The ordinarily fluent and unperturbed Justice Elena Kagan seemed, judging from the transcript, to be sputtering a bit in the oral argument of the Supreme Court's case challenging the racial quotas and preferences used in admissions by the University of North Carolina.

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February 2, 2023

The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting By J. Miles Coleman

Over two decades, double-digit overperformances have become far less common.


— Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common.

— Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee has decreased sharply.

— This trend helps explain why we currently rate Democratic-held West Virginia as Leans Republican and started off Montana and Ohio as Toss-ups.

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February 1, 2023

A Surprising Politician By John Stossel

The next presidential race is on.

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January 31, 2023

Proposed Airline Merger Would Bring More Competition and Lower Fares By Stephen Moore

 If you want to see a classic case of how President Joe Biden's regulatory tendencies are strangling the U.S. economy and raising prices, look no further than the latest Justice Department efforts to kill an airline merger that is pro-consumer.

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January 27, 2023

Are Public Employee Unions Unconstitutional? By Michael Barone

How did it come to pass that public employee unions, which scarcely existed 60 years ago, have come to run public schools and myriad state and local government agencies?

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January 25, 2023

Population Panic By John Stossel

 Have you heard? The world is about to end!

   "60 Minutes" recently featured Paul Ehrlich, author of the bestseller, "The Population Bomb." "Humanity is not sustainable," he said.

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January 24, 2023

It's Official: Trump's Tax Cuts Paid for Themselves By Stephen Moore

 How many times have you heard President Joe Biden or Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Bernie Sanders (I-VT) berate the Trump tax cuts as "a giveaway to the rich"?

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January 20, 2023

Time for Truth and Reconciliation on the Russia Collusion Hoax By Michael Barone

What are "the major problems this country faces"? Writing in The Atlantic, New York Times columnist David Brooks leads off his list with "inequality, political polarization, social mistrust" before concluding with the inevitable "climate change." Today's "inequality," he notes, is as "savage" as the inequality in the 1890s.

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January 19, 2023

2024 Governors Races: A First Look By J. Miles Coleman

And an updated word on Mississippi.


— North Carolina’s open-seat race is clearly the marquee contest of 2024’s gubernatorial races. It starts as a Toss-up.

— The other contests start with clear favorites despite several open seats.

— If popular Republican incumbents run for another term, the GOP should be in great shape to hold New Hampshire and Vermont. But they would be great Democratic opportunities as open seats.

— Mississippi moves to Likely Republican following the entry of a credible Democratic candidate after our initial 2023 rating release last week.

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January 18, 2023

The Recycling Religion By John Stossel

For decades, we've been told: recycle!
   "If we're not using recycled paper, we're cutting down more trees!" says Lynn Hoffman, co-president of Eureka Recycling.
   Recycling paper (or cardboard) does save trees. Recycling aluminum does save energy. But that's about it.

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January 17, 2023

Biden's ESG Investment Rules Threaten Your Retirement Savings By Stephen Moore

President Joe Biden's Labor Department recently announced a new rule that will permit money managers to play politics with trillions of dollars of people's retirement savings.