If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

July 4, 2023

Could We Still Win a Revolutionary War? By Daniel McCarthy

  The Independence Day season is a time to ask a hard question.

July 4, 2023

Bidenomics Is a Big Bust By Stephen Moore

Word out of the White House is that President Joe Biden wants to tout his economic successes.

White letter R on blue background
June 30, 2023

The Arc of the Moral Universe Just Wobbles Around By Michael Barone

No one knows whether last weekend's Wagner Group uprising means the end of President Vladimir Putin's control of Russia, just as no one knew before the last few weeks of 1999 that Putin would replace Boris Yeltsin and become Russia's leader for the next quarter-century.

White letter R on blue background
June 29, 2023

Electoral College Ratings: Expect Another Highly Competitive Election By Kyle Kondik

Small edge to Democrats but neither side over 270 to start.


— Our initial 2024 Electoral College ratings start with just four Toss-up states.

— Democrats start with a small advantage, although both sides begin south of what they need to win.

— We consider a rematch of the 2020 election — Joe Biden versus Donald Trump — as the likeliest matchup, but not one that is set in stone.

June 28, 2023

Best Things First By John Stossel

For my new video, I asked people on the street, "If you could spend $30 billion trying to solve the world's problems, how would you spend it?"

June 27, 2023

Election 2024 – Can We Trust it? By Brian Joondeph

In less than a year and a half America “elects” a new President, along with a third of the Senate and the entire House. At this point the leading contenders for the White House are Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

June 27, 2023

Civilizations Clash -- in Ukraine and at Home By Daniel McCarthy

Samuel Huntington got Ukraine wrong.

June 23, 2023

A Tale of Two Indictments: Politics in a Doom Loop By Michael Barone

Are America's 45th and 46th presidents politically invulnerable? That's a conclusion you might come to from the response to the indictment of Donald Trump on June 8 and the guilty plea by Joe Biden's son Hunter announced on June 20.

White letter R on blue background
June 22, 2023

The 2023 and 2024 Attorney General and Secretary of State Races By Louis Jacobson

Amidst several safe-state races with key primaries, competitive contests in North Carolina and Pennsylvania loom.


— The once low-profile contests for attorney general and secretary of state have become increasingly important for driving policy outcomes in the states, particularly in setting the rules for how elections are run.

— The current campaign cycle doesn’t promise quite as much drama as there was in 2022, when several key presidential battleground states played host to tight contests between Republicans aligned with former President Donald Trump and more mainstream Democrats.

— For the current 2023-2024 cycle, we are starting our handicapping by assigning 18 of the 23 races to either the Safe Republican or the Safe Democratic category. Still, a number of these states will undergo wide-open primaries with different ideological flavors of candidates. And in the general election, we see three races as highly competitive: the attorney general and secretary of state races in North Carolina and the AG race in Pennsylvania.

June 21, 2023

Less Freedom By John Stossel

Politicians claim their bills bring us good things. Free health care! Child care! A cellphone for all!

June 20, 2023

Republicans Must Be the Party of Small Business By Stephen Moore

A recent Wall Street Journal lead story reported that "Republicans and big business broke up.

June 20, 2023

China Comes for the Caribbean By Daniel McCarthy

When Americans think about conflict with China, Taiwan comes to mind first.

June 16, 2023

The Trump Indictment: Irresponsibility Squared By Michael Barone

Some observations on special counsel Jack Smith's indictment of former President Donald Trump:

White letter R on blue background
June 15, 2023

Pumping the Brakes Post-Milligan By Kyle Kondik

Surveying the redistricting picture after the Supreme Court’s unexpected decision.


— The Supreme Court’s Allen v. Milligan decision should give Democrats at least a little help in their quest to re-take the House majority, but much remains uncertain.

— As of now, the Democrats’ best bets to add a seat in 2024 are in Alabama, the subject of the ruling, and Louisiana.

— It also adds to the list of potential mid-decade redistricting changes, which have happened with regularity over the past half-century.

— The closely-contested nature of the House raises the stakes of each state’s map, and redistricting changes do not necessarily have to be prompted by courts.

June 14, 2023

Fighting Woke By John Stossel

 People hate Chris Rufo.

June 13, 2023

To Reduce Airline Ticket Prices, Expand Washington's Reagan Airport By Stephen Moore

Those who live in or near the nation's capital, or routinely travel there, know that the Washington, D.C., region is home to the best airport in the country, Reagan National. It's also home to one of the worst airports, Dulles International.

June 12, 2023

America Has Become a Banana Republic By Brian C. Joondeph

Dictators and tyrants arrest or murder their political opponents. Stalin, Mao, Hitler, Castro, and Chavez are but a few examples. Their power is absolute, and any opposition is hastily eliminated, regardless of laws, ethics, or decency.

June 9, 2023

Sununu's Good Move and Bad Advice By Michael Barone

Gov. Chris Sununu (R-N.H.) is not running for president. In his state's first-in-the-nation primary, "I can be more effective for the Republican Party in ways few other leaders can," he wrote in the Washington Post. 

White letter R on blue background
June 8, 2023

Moving Beyond the Good Ol’ Boys Club: Recent Trends in Women’s Representation in State Legislatures By Carah Ong Whaley


— The percentage of women in state legislatures has increased in recent years. However, there is still a significant gender gap in most states as women have not reached parity in representation.

— The majority of women in state legislatures are Democrats. While more Republican women ran for office in 2022 than in previous years, that didn’t amount to closing the gender gap in representation.

— The percentage of women in state legislatures has increased more in Western and Northeastern states than in Midwestern and Southern states. This is likely due to a number of factors, including the political climate, the level of motivation and activism among women, and the availability of resources for women’s campaigns.

June 7, 2023

Socialism Versus Nature By John Stossel

"Greed of the fossil fuel industry" is "destroying our planet," says Sen. Bernie Sanders. Young people agree. Their solution? Socialism.