Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

March 2, 2023Republicans Retain Edge in Electoral College Tie By Kyle Kondik
GOP controls bare majority of House delegations and should continue to in the next Congress.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral College votes, the U.S. House of Representatives elected in the 2024 election would decide the presidency.
— Republicans are very likely to continue to control enough House delegations to select the GOP nominee as the winner, meaning that 269 is effectively the winning Electoral College number for Republicans, while it’s 270 for Democrats.
— Republicans currently control 26 of the 50 House delegations, the bare majority to win in the House if the Electoral College does not produce a majority winner.
March 1, 2023The Stupid Act By John Stossel
After a recent hurricane, Puerto Ricans desperately needed fuel.
February 28, 2023Scholars Rank Biggest Spending Presidents as the Greatest By Stephen Moore
Before President Joe Biden entered the White House, he consulted with several prominent historians about how to be a great commander in chief. Their answer: Grow government. Spend, spend, spend. Don't worry about blowing up the debt.
February 24, 2023Give Credit to Jimmy Carter By Michael Barone
Jimmy Carter, the 39th and the longest-living U.S. president, has chosen to enter hospice care at age 98. This is a good time to try to place his presidency in history. 
February 23, 2023Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up By Kyle Kondik
CA/NY vital for Democratic comeback; new maps in NC/OH could give Republicans a buffer.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The overall battle for House control in 2024 starts as a Toss-up.
— Relatively similar numbers of Democratic and Republican seats start in the most competitive Toss-up and Leans categories, although Republicans start with a few more targets in large part because of the likelihood that they will benefit from redistricting in North Carolina and Ohio.
— Big blue states California and New York, where Republicans have made key gains over the past couple of cycles, loom large as Democrats plot a path back to the House majority.
February 22, 2023Government's Dirty Secret By John Stossel
Classified documents are found in Donald Trump's home!
February 21, 2023It's Now or Never for School Choice Everywhere By Stephen Moore
This story could bring tears to your eyes. In Baltimore, Maryland, there are 23 schools in which not one single student tested "proficient in math."
February 17, 2023Disinformation Inc vs. the Founding Fathers By Michael Barone
How many people believe, really believe, in freedom of speech? Or, as Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes wrote, not just "free thought for those who agree with us but freedom for the thought that we hate"?
February 16, 2023Both White and Nonwhite Democrats are Moving Left By Alan I. Abramowitz
Race, party, and ideological congruence in the American electorate.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— One of the big stories of American politics over the past half-century has been a growing ideological divide between Democrats and Republicans.
— This has also led to more ideological cohesion within parties, including a dramatic increase among Democrats between 2012 and 2020. Democrats are now as ideologically cohesive as Republicans, which is a big change from a decade ago, when Republicans were significantly more cohesive than Democrats.
— While white Democrats have moved more to the left than nonwhite Democrats have on some issues, both groups have become more liberal since 2012.
February 15, 2023Bureaucrats Ban Betting By John Stossel
What will happen in the future? Is there a way to know?
February 14, 2023What if Federal Workers Never Showed Up for Work and No One Missed Them? By Stephen Moore
This is one of the greatest federal government scandals of all time.
February 10, 2023Will Biden's Primary Schedule Have Unintended Consequences? By Michael Barone
For a president who proclaimed proudly in his annual speech that his policies have made the state of the union good, Joe Biden betrayed a certain insecurity when, just two days before, he caused the Democratic National Committee to change its presidential primary schedule for 2024.
February 9, 2023The State of Biden’s Next Campaign By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
The president has little real opposition in his own party but remains dependent on weaknesses across the aisle.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— President Biden’s successful State of the Union address suggested he’s full speed ahead on running for a second term.
— Despite polls showing that even many Democrats would prefer Biden not to run again, he has no real opposition within his own party — and the State of the Union is unlikely to help generate any.
— Biden’s best friend is weakness within the Republican Party, which was on display once again on Tuesday night.
February 8, 2023Mike Pompeo Versus Libertarians By John Stossel
 Former CIA Director and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will probably run for president.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            February 7, 2023Why Have So Many People 'Died Suddenly'? By Brian C Joondeph
The Twitter hashtag #DiedSuddenly has been trending based on the plethora of sudden and unexplained deaths among the young and healthy over the past two years. Stories abound and here are a few found at the time of this writing.
February 3, 2023We Don't Need Racial Quotas to Showcase America's Diversity By Michael Barone
   The ordinarily fluent and unperturbed Justice Elena Kagan seemed, judging from the transcript, to be sputtering a bit in the oral argument of the Supreme Court's case challenging the racial quotas and preferences used in admissions by the University of North Carolina.
February 2, 2023The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting By J. Miles Coleman
Over two decades, double-digit overperformances have become far less common.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Senate races are increasingly converging with presidential partisanship, to the point where the huge overperformances that were so common a decade or two ago have become much less common.
— Since 2000, the number of senators who have run more than 10 points ahead of their party’s presidential nominee has decreased sharply.
— This trend helps explain why we currently rate Democratic-held West Virginia as Leans Republican and started off Montana and Ohio as Toss-ups.
February 1, 2023A Surprising Politician By John Stossel
The next presidential race is on.
January 31, 2023Proposed Airline Merger Would Bring More Competition and Lower Fares By Stephen Moore
 If you want to see a classic case of how President Joe Biden's regulatory tendencies are strangling the U.S. economy and raising prices, look no further than the latest Justice Department efforts to kill an airline merger that is pro-consumer.
January 27, 2023Are Public Employee Unions Unconstitutional? By Michael Barone
How did it come to pass that public employee unions, which scarcely existed 60 years ago, have come to run public schools and myriad state and local government agencies?

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Republicans Retain Edge in Electoral College Tie By Kyle Kondik

GOP controls bare majority of House delegations and should continue to in the next Congress.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

The Stupid Act By John Stossel

Scholars Rank Biggest Spending Presidents as the Greatest By Stephen Moore

Give Credit to Jimmy Carter By Michael Barone

Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up By Kyle Kondik

CA/NY vital for Democratic comeback; new maps in NC/OH could give Republicans a buffer.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Government's Dirty Secret By John Stossel

It's Now or Never for School Choice Everywhere By Stephen Moore

Disinformation Inc vs. the Founding Fathers By Michael Barone

Both White and Nonwhite Democrats are Moving Left By Alan I. Abramowitz

Race, party, and ideological congruence in the American electorate.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Bureaucrats Ban Betting By John Stossel

What if Federal Workers Never Showed Up for Work and No One Missed Them? By Stephen Moore

Will Biden's Primary Schedule Have Unintended Consequences? By Michael Barone

The State of Biden’s Next Campaign By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman

The president has little real opposition in his own party but remains dependent on weaknesses across the aisle.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Mike Pompeo Versus Libertarians By John Stossel

Why Have So Many People 'Died Suddenly'? By Brian C Joondeph

We Don't Need Racial Quotas to Showcase America's Diversity By Michael Barone

The Shocking Decline of Senate Ticket-Splitting By J. Miles Coleman

Over two decades, double-digit overperformances have become far less common.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

A Surprising Politician By John Stossel

Proposed Airline Merger Would Bring More Competition and Lower Fares By Stephen Moore

Are Public Employee Unions Unconstitutional? By Michael Barone

Daily Presidential
Tracking Poll

Top Stories

If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

GOP controls bare majority of House delegations and should continue to in the next Congress.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

CA/NY vital for Democratic comeback; new maps in NC/OH could give Republicans a buffer.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Race, party, and ideological congruence in the American electorate.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

The president has little real opposition in his own party but remains dependent on weaknesses across the aisle.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Over two decades, double-digit overperformances have become far less common.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Daily PresidentialTracking Poll

Top Stories

Daily Presidential
Tracking Poll