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Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

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June 1, 2023

Plotting the GOP’s Most Efficient Electoral College Pathways By Seth Moskowitz

How the 2020 map provides a template for 2024.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In 2020, Donald Trump would have needed to flip 37 additional Electoral College votes to reach 269, thereby winning an effective majority in the Electoral College, thanks to a likely Republican advantage if the Electoral College produces a tied outcome.

— The 2024 Electoral College map will reflect the 2020 census’s reallocation of electoral votes. Using this new map, the GOP will need to flip 34 electoral votes (down from 37) to reach 269.

— Using 2020 presidential election results, we can map out the different paths that Trump had to winning 269 electoral votes. These routes give us a template for how presidential candidates might plan their strategies for next year’s election.

— Flipping Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin is likely the GOP’s best chance at winning back the presidency. But there are other viable routes to 269 as well that involve Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.

May 31, 2023

Time Bomb By John Stossel

Social Security is toast.

May 30, 2023

Stop Scaring Our Kids to Death By Stephen Moore

As nearly every standardized test is showing, our schools are doing an abysmal job teaching kids how to read or do math. In some cases, kids graduating from high school can barely read their diplomas.

May 26, 2023

Mugged by Reality? Or Respectful of Common Sense? By Michael Barone

A conservative, to paraphrase and slightly alter Irving Kristol's saying, is a liberal who has been mugged by reality -- especially by a reality that is plain to the vast bulk of ordinary people but remains inexplicably invisible to liberal intellectuals and politicians.

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May 25, 2023

Leaning Into State Trends: The West Coast By J. Miles Coleman

Also some larger observations on how all the states have trended.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— The West Coast states have all been Democratic-leaning in nearly every recent presidential election.

— One exception was Oregon, which leaned slightly right of the nation in 2000, although it is now a solidly blue state.

— Looking nationally, Biden was the best-performing recent Democratic nominee in several Sun Belt states — many of which will be at the center of the 2024 campaign.

— Donald Trump, between his two elections as the GOP nominee, turned in the best recent Republican performances in half the states — this includes much of the electorally-critical Rust Belt.

May 24, 2023

President DeSantis? By John Stossel

Recently, Gov. Ron DeSantis sat down with me for a one-hour interview.

May 23, 2023

What's the Matter With Texas Republicans When It Comes to School Choice Legislation? By Stephen Moore

This has been the year for school choice all over the country. At least six additional states joined Arizona and Florida to give parents the funds to send their children to private and charter schools.

May 19, 2023

The Russia Collusion Hoax: Unpatriotic? By Michael Barone

The report of special counsel John Durham is, or ought to be, devastating for anyone who has put any credence in what has now been definitively revealed to be the Russia collusion hoax.

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May 18, 2023

Rewriting the Parable of the Good Samaritan By Brian C. Joondeph

In the Book of Luke, chapter 10, Jesus told the “Parable of the Good Samaritan.” Is it time for a rewrite?

May 17, 2023

President Ramaswamy? By John Stossel

Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy is obviously a long shot presidential candidate, but he's refreshing. Unlike most politicians, he speaks clearly and seems smart.

May 16, 2023

The Green Movement Is a Jobs Killer. Are Unions Finally Figuring This Out? By Stephen Moore

Could it be that union bosses are finally waking up to the cold reality that the greatest threat to steel workers, the United Auto Workers, miners, machinists and the Teamsters is the radical climate change agenda of the environmentalists?

May 12, 2023

'Segregation' Is a Deliberate Act By Michael Barone

Getting words right can clear up a lot of confusion about politics and public policy. Example: "segregate" is a verb that requires a subject. "Segregate" is not an impersonal verb, nor is "segregation" a mere accidental result of unrelated outside processes.

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May 11, 2023

Not Biden vs. Trump Again! The Disgruntled Voters Who Could Decide the 2024 Election By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Joe Biden’s approval numbers are weak and are reminiscent of the numbers from some recent presidents who lost reelection.

— However, Biden is still very competitive in polling with the current leader for the Republican presidential nomination, Donald Trump, in part because voters still have less negative attitudes toward him than they do toward Trump, according to the 2022 American National Elections Studies Pilot Study.

— A key bloc of voters who would prefer someone other than Biden or Trump skew conservative, but are also alienated by Trump’s actions around the events of Jan. 6, 2021.

May 10, 2023

Danger -- Government Digital Currency By John Stossel

President Joe Biden and the media are excited about something new: a Central Bank Digital Currency, or CBDC. It's a currency like Bitcoin, except controlled by the federal government.
Not everyone is a fan.

May 9, 2023

Federal Trade Commission's Call of Duty Maneuver Is Actually a Dereliction of It By Stephen Moore

The British antitrust cops just announced they will oppose the proposed blockbuster $68.7 billion merger of two American companies -- Microsoft and gaming company Activision Blizzard, the owner of the wildly popular game Call of Duty. This decision is bad news for investors in companies, gamers and workers. But it's very good news for America's competitors in Asia and Europe.

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May 5, 2023

Joe Biden Running for Reelection – For Real or More Malarkey? By Brian C. Joondeph

On April 25, barely two weeks ago, President Joe Biden announced that he is running for reelection in 2024, promising to “finish the job.” What exactly does he want to finish?

May 5, 2023

Republicans Aren't Disappearing -- and May Even Be Growing Stronger By Michael Barone

Reports of the death of the Republican Party continue to be premature.

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May 4, 2023

Leaning Into State Trends: The Midwest and Interior West By J. Miles Coleman

The two regions have four Biden-won states that will be key in 2024

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Both the Midwest and Interior West have states that Joe Biden carried by less than his popular vote margin in 2020.

— In the Midwest, Michigan and Wisconsin will likely be prime battlegrounds states next year, although Michigan seems a harder lift for Republicans.

— In the Interior West, Arizona’s Republican lean has been eroding in elections since 2008 — this allowed Biden to carry it in 2020, but Democrats will also have to work to keep neighboring Nevada in their column.

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May 3, 2023

Moochers and Looters By John Stossel

There's a socialist wave in Latin America. Mexico, Chile, Peru, Bolivia and Brazil recently elected leftists.

May 2, 2023

Who Turned the Lights Out? Joe Biden By Stephen Moore

  Does the radical climate change agenda know no end? Earlier this year, it was gas stoves -- and then lightbulbs.