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Political Commentary

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September 24, 2020

States of Play: Ohio By Kyle Kondik

After Trump maxed out the Buckeye State’s rural areas and small town areas, can Biden max out the suburbs?

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Ohio insiders believe that the state is closer than last time, and that Donald Trump is struggling mightily in suburban areas.

— Still, Ohio should vote considerably to the right of the nation, thanks to its high percentage of white voters who don’t have a four-year college degree — a strong group for Trump — and its smaller-than-average nonwhite population, a group that is very Democratic.

— Suburban areas in general, and the Cincinnati and Dayton areas in particular, would likely be a key part of a Biden path to victory. But Trump is still better-positioned to win the state.

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September 23, 2020

Sunrise Movement: The Riotous Left's Pot-Banging Brats By Michelle Malkin

Wake up. The "community organizers" of the left are in full wildebeest mode. Now is not the time for bending down, rolling over or playing nice. From now until Election Day (and likely until the end of the year), you can expect screaming banshees carrying identical, preprinted signs to turn up in the middle of the night at the private homes of elected politicians, Donald Trump campaign and administration officials, law enforcement officers, judges and conservative leaders.

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September 23, 2020

Bad Policies Fuel Fires By John Stossel

"Mother Earth is angry!" says Nancy Pelosi in my newest video.

"The debate is over around climate change!" says California Governor Gavin Newsom, smirking, strangely.

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September 22, 2020

Biden Anti-Business Agenda Would Wreck the Economy By Stephen Moore

The Democrats are rewriting history, celebrating the Obama record on the economy as if these were the salad days for America. In Washington parlance, that is called "misremembering." The reality is that the Obama tax-and-regulate agenda led to the weakest economic recovery from a recession since the Great Depression.

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September 22, 2020

Last Best Chance to Capture Supreme Court By Patrick J. Buchanan

President Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell are on the cusp of making history.

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September 19, 2020

If Biden Loses, This Will Be Why By Ted Rall

It would be a stretch to say that Joe Biden is in trouble. He is ahead in the polls, including in states where Donald Trump won last time. Unlike Trump, whose campaign is apparently nearly broke, Biden's campaign is raking in corporate donations.

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September 18, 2020

Beyond the Polls, Trump is Sitting Pretty By Brian C. Joondeph

Labor Day is in the rear-view mirror meaning that the presidential campaign is in full swing. With less than two months until the big day, the electoral winds appear to be blowing in President Trump’s direction.

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September 18, 2020

Statehood for Territories May Boomerang on Democrats By Michael Barone

What happens if, as seems much more likely now than it did a year or six months ago, Democrats overturn the Republican majority in the Senate?

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September 18, 2020

Is Peace at Hand in the Middle East? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Having presided over the recognition of Israel by the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize amid talk of peace breaking out across the region.

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September 17, 2020

The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasts of the 2020 Presidential Election By James E. Campbell

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasting Models have an excellent record for accurate predictions of the presidential elections going back to 1992.

— Forecasting models depend on applying electoral history to the current election, but 2020 is historically abnormal (at least, in the period since 1948).

— The greatest challenge for forecasting this year is in how the catastrophic second quarter GDP should be treated.

— Based on President Trump’s approval ratings, in general and on the economy, as well as the projected third quarter GDP growth rates, the forecasts should depend exclusively on the preference polls, and they point to another extremely close election.

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September 16, 2020

Politicians on the Take? By John Stossel

Politicians shut down businesses because of COVID-19.

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September 15, 2020

Americans Against Unconstitutional Mask Mandates By Michelle Malkin

Good news: The anti-mask mandate movement is gaining steam. Americans yearning to breathe free are waking up from their pandemic stupor. Common sense and constitutional principles, now more than ever, are vital to a sovereign nation's health.

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September 15, 2020

Biden's Energy Plan Could Kill 5 Million Blue-Collar Jobs By Stephen Moore

Joe Biden just can't get his story straight on his green energy promises.

In Pittsburgh, in front of union workers last month, he declared: "I am not banning fracking. Let me say that again. I am not banning fracking. No matter how many times Donald Trump lies about me."

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September 15, 2020

Are the Forever Wars Really Ending? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"There is no... sound reason for the United States to continue sacrificing precious lives and treasure in a conflict not directly connected to our safety or other vital national interests."

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September 11, 2020

The Campaign Is at Knife's Edge By Michael Barone

The presidential campaign is at knife's edge. Both parties' campaigns assume that patterns of support will closely resemble those in 2016. And both are making surprisingly little effort, considering how close that contest turned out to be, with the 46 crucial electoral votes decided by just 77,744 votes, to increase their levels of support.

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September 11, 2020

A Focused Trump Can Still Pull It Out By Patrick J. Buchanan

If Donald Trump loses the election, history will attribute his defeat to a pandemic that killed 200,000 Americans during his reelection campaign, and a historic depression deliberately induced to put the economy in a coma as the nation suffered through that pandemic.

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September 9, 2020

China's Dark Turn By John Stossel

"I'm more anti-China than you!"

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September 8, 2020

Celebrate the Miracle of America By Stephen Moore

In his acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention, Joe Biden had this uninspiring assessment of America's current predicament: "The president keeps telling us the virus is going to disappear. He keeps waiting for a miracle. Well, I have news for him: No miracle is coming."

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September 5, 2020

Never Trump. Never Biden. The Progressive Case for Voting Third Party or Boycotting the Election By Ted Rall

Front and center in the raging debate between liberals and progressives over whether they should support Joe Biden or opt out of the two-party trap by voting third party or not at all is the assumption that Biden would do less harm both to the world and to American leftism than Donald Trump.

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September 4, 2020

Were the Lockdowns a Mistake? By Michael Barone

To that nagging question, the answer increasingly seems to be yes.