Political Commentary

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July 29, 2020States of Play: Pennsylvania By Rhodes Cook
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— In 2016, Donald Trump inspired higher Republican turnout in Pennsylvania, while Hillary Clinton couldn’t offset her losses in the non-metro parts of the state.
— Voter registration trends in Pennsylvania are mirroring the 2016 picture — all of the counties in Philadelphia’s suburban collar are Democratic by registration while Republicans have flipped some working class counties.
— With the third party vote projected to be down from 2020, former Gov. Bill Weld’s (R-MA) relative strength as a Republican protest presidential candidate in this month’s Pennsylvania Republican primary may be a warning sign for Trump.
— Joe Biden, who frequently talks up his working class Scranton background, gives Democrats a good chance to move the state back into the blue column, but it’ll hardly be an automatic shift.
July 29, 2020The Private Space Race By John Stossel
This week, American astronauts returned to earth. Their trip to the space station was the first manned launch from the U.S. in 10 years.
July 28, 2020Paying People Not to Work Is Not an Economic Stimulus By Stephen Moore
Back in 2009, Nancy Pelosi infamously declared the best way to revive the economy was to dole out ever more generous food stamps and unemployment benefits. The more people collecting welfare the better. At the time, this notion seemed laughable. Now this economic illiteracy seems to have become a conventional wisdom.
July 28, 2020American 'Stormtroopers' -- A Bright Shining Lie By Patrick J. Buchanan
With the Mark O. Hatfield United States Courthouse under nightly siege from violent radicals, and Portland's police hard-pressed to protect it, President Trump sent in federal agents to secure the building.
July 25, 202010 Reasons I Won't Vote for Biden By Ted Rall
1. My vote is a personal endorsement. It says, "I, citizen Ted Rall, approve of Joe Biden's career in public office." I do not. Voting for Biden would be a retroactive endorsement of his vote to invade Iraq, which killed over 1 million innocent people. Voting for Biden would be a retroactive endorsement of his long history of racism, beginning with his disgusting opposition to court-ordered busing.
July 24, 2020Goodbye, After Nearly Two Centuries, to the National Conventions By Michael Barone
If things had proceeded according to schedule, we'd be checking the polls this week to see if Joe Biden had gotten a bounce from his acceptance speech in Milwaukee. That's because the Democratic National Convention was originally scheduled for July 13-16.
July 24, 2020Stress Test of a Straining Superpower By Patrick J. Buchanan
How great a burden can even an unrivaled superpower carry before it buckles and breaks? We may be about to find out.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            July 23, 2020Presidential Polls Are Déjà Vu All Over Again By Brian C. Joondeph
If you listen to the mainstream media, the election is over. Joe Biden has an insurmountable and growing double-digit lead over President Trump for an election that is still over three months away.
July 23, 2020House Rating Changes By Kyle Kondik
Eight shifts, almost all benefiting Democrats.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Recently-released fundraising reports indicate a mismatch between the best-funded GOP candidates and the districts in which they are competing.
— At this point, Democrats are more likely to net House seats than Republicans, although we’re still not expecting much net change overall.
— There are eight rating changes this week: seven in favor of Democrats, one in favor of Republicans.
July 22, 2020One Nation Under Anarcho-Tyranny By Michelle Malkin
The America you grew up in is not the America we live in now.
July 22, 2020Progressive Policies Wreck Everything By John Stossel
I laughed when I saw The Washington Post headline: "Minneapolis had progressive policies, but its economy still left black families behind."
July 21, 2020Are You Lonesome Tonight? By Stephen Moore
"Are you lonesome tonight? / Do you miss me tonight? / Are you sorry we drifted apart? / Does your memory stray to a brighter, sunny day?" -- Elvis Presley
Loneliness is such a sad affair, as the saying goes, and our politicians have succeeded in turning America into a lonely nation by decree. We are going on four months now of lock-ins, business shutdowns and few, if any, social gatherings. What this is doing to the nation's psyche has been devastating.
July 21, 2020Rising Diversity Is Joe Biden's Worry, Too By Patrick J. Buchanan
Is her racial diversity America's greatest strength?
July 18, 2020Like Trump, Biden Would Be a Right-Wing President By Ted Rall
What would President Joe Biden do? His supporters are making it hard to read the tealeaves.
They say he'd appoint a great Cabinet. But he won't tell us who would be in it.
July 17, 2020Trump Opponents' Worst Traits Are Trump's Fault By Michael Barone
You could say it's all Donald Trump's fault. His bad qualities -- his carelessness about facts, his obstinance about admitting error, his contempt for others' views -- have turned out to be contagious, to the point that you could argue they're more damaging to his opponents than to him.
July 17, 2020Is America Up for a Naval War with China? By Patrick J. Buchanan
Is the U.S., preoccupied with a pandemic and a depression that medical crisis created, prepared for a collision with China over Beijing's claims to the rocks, reefs and resources of the South China Sea?
July 16, 2020The Future Shape of the Senate By Louis Jacobson
How 2020 sets up 2022 and 2024.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The Constitution divides the Senate into three “classes” that face the voters on six-year cycles. Under today’s political dynamics, the class that faced the voters in 2018 was favorable to the Republicans, while the class that faces the voters in 2020 is favorable to the Democrats.
— What about the class that faces the voters in 2022? Our analysis shows that this class is also favorable to the Democrats.
— If the Democrats manage to seize the Senate majority in 2020, the relatively pro-Democratic map in 2022 could insulate the party somewhat if Joe Biden is elected president and a midterm backlash benefiting the GOP emerges.
— The Democrats will need to run up the score in the Senate in both 2020 and 2022 if they are going to keep the majority past the 2024 elections, when the Republicans benefit from an extremely favorable map for their party.
July 15, 2020Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace By Michelle Malkin
Jared Polis, the Democratic governor of Colorado, thinks those of us who oppose scientifically dubious, constitutionally suspect and dangerously overbroad face mask mandates are "selfish bastards."
July 15, 2020Too Much Faith in Models By John Stossel
Between 2 million and 3 million Americans will die!
That was the prediction from "experts" at London's Imperial College when COVID-19 began. They did also say if there was "social distancing of the whole population," the death toll could be cut in half, but 1.1 million to 1.46 million Americans would still die by this summer.
July 14, 2020The Electoral College: The Fringe of the Map Expands By Kyle Kondik
If Trump’s numbers don’t improve, some surprising states could come into play.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— President Trump’s position has been perilously weak for a month and a half.
— With Joe Biden’s national lead around eight to 10 points, there is a possibility that he could compete for some usually Republican states.
— We are moving seven states from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.
— Our current ratings represent something of a hedge between a Trump comeback and Biden maintaining or expanding his large national lead.
— We also are moving the Missouri gubernatorial race from Likely Republican to Leans Republican.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

States of Play: Pennsylvania By Rhodes Cook

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

The Private Space Race By John Stossel

Paying People Not to Work Is Not an Economic Stimulus By Stephen Moore

American 'Stormtroopers' -- A Bright Shining Lie By Patrick J. Buchanan

10 Reasons I Won't Vote for Biden By Ted Rall

Goodbye, After Nearly Two Centuries, to the National Conventions By Michael Barone

Stress Test of a Straining Superpower By Patrick J. Buchanan

Presidential Polls Are Déjà Vu All Over Again By Brian C. Joondeph

House Rating Changes By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

One Nation Under Anarcho-Tyranny By Michelle Malkin

Progressive Policies Wreck Everything By John Stossel

Are You Lonesome Tonight? By Stephen Moore

Rising Diversity Is Joe Biden's Worry, Too By Patrick J. Buchanan

Like Trump, Biden Would Be a Right-Wing President By Ted Rall

Trump Opponents' Worst Traits Are Trump's Fault By Michael Barone

Is America Up for a Naval War with China? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The Future Shape of the Senate By Louis Jacobson

Mask Mandates Are a Public Health Menace By Michelle Malkin

Too Much Faith in Models By John Stossel

The Electoral College: The Fringe of the Map Expands By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

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