Political Commentary

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October 9, 2020Lockdown Enthusiasts' Risk Aversion Is Producing a More Unequal Society By Michael Barone
Now that Donald Trump exited from Walter Reed Hospital and the vice presidential debate aired, let's turn to an apolitical analyst to understand what's happening. Vaclav Smil, 76, native of communist Czechoslovakia and former University of Manitoba professor for four decades, has written 39 books on energy, technology and demography. "Nobody," says Bill Gates, who has read every book, "sees the big picture with as wide an aperture as Vaclav Smil."

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            October 8, 2020Presidential Opinion Polls – The Measured vs. The Observed By Brian C. Joondeph
With the 2020 presidential election only weeks away, increasing attention is focused on opinion polls to pick the winner. In 2016, most pollsters were wildly wrong, predicting a Hillary Clinton landslide victory over Donald Trump.
October 8, 2020With Just Weeks to Go, Trump is Not Making up Ground By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Rating changes in Electoral College, Senate, Governor, and House.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Recent rosy polling for Joe Biden in the presidential race may represent an artificial sugar high for the challenger.
— But at this point, Donald Trump needs to be making up ground — not treading water or falling further behind.
— 11 rating changes across four categories of races (president, Senate, House, and governor) almost exclusively benefit Democrats.
October 7, 2020Beware of the Flu Shot Bullies By Michelle Malkin
Dear skeptical Americans: You have every right and reason to be hesitant about rolling up your sleeves and submitting to flu vaccine jabs this year.
October 7, 2020Fake Fact-Checking By John Stossel
Recently, I released a video that called California's fires "government fueled."
October 6, 2020Just Who Is the Real Blue-Collar President? By Stephen Moore
One thing we learned from the debate in Cleveland last Tuesday, when Trump wasn't interrupting, is that Joe Biden makes up numbers on the fly. There was a lot of fibbing going on. Consider this exchange between the two candidates:
October 6, 2020Ten Days That Shook the Presidency By Patrick J. Buchanan
What a difference a week can make.
Saturday, Sept. 26, was among the best days of the Trump presidency, or so some of us thought watching the president introduce in the Rose Garden his sterling candidate for Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat on the Supreme Court.
October 3, 2020Joe Biden Will Be a Republican President By Ted Rall
Past performance is no guarantee of future returns, but there are few more reliable ways to predict what comes next than to examine the historical record, because, most of the time, history really does repeat itself.
What kind of president would Joe Biden be? His centrist supporters assure progressives that he will be one of them, pushing an aggressive legislative agenda reminiscent of FDR's New Deal. His Republican opponents portray him as a socialist. But Biden hasn't actually promised anything ambitious.
October 2, 2020Worst Presidential Debate Ever By Michael Barone
"Chaos." "Painful." "Dispiriting." "The worst presidential debate in American history." "The lowest point in American political culture in my lifetime."
October 2, 2020It's Late, But There's Still Time By Patrick J. Buchanan
In their first debate, the president of the United States, challenged by the former vice president, performed poorly -- even by his own estimation.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            October 1, 2020Trump Won the Debate – With his Base By Brian C. Joondeph
Presidential debate number one was a slugfest, with President Trump coming out swinging. Poor Joe Biden didn’t know what hit him. He has granted few interviews during the campaign season, with scripted questions and answers on a teleprompter but no body slams from the likes of Trump the Barbarian.
October 1, 2020Biden Lead Looks Firmer as Midwest Moves His Way By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Challenger edges over 270; rating changes for Senate, House.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— With the first debate now in the books, we have close to 20 rating changes across the Electoral College, Senate, and House.
— Joe Biden is now over 270 electoral votes in our ratings as we move several Midwestern states in his favor.
— Changes in the battle for Congress benefit Democrats almost exclusively. We’re moving two Senate races in their direction, as well as several House contests.
September 30, 2020Who's Funding Shady Ballot Harvesting Schemes? By Michelle Malkin
Last week, while on a business trip in Wisconsin, I learned about an insane ballot harvesting scheme that appears to be tied to a deep-pocketed liberal advocacy group subsidized by Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg, Google, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and eBay former chairman Pierre Omidyar's Democracy Fund.
September 30, 2020Biased Media By John Stossel
"A pioneer devoted to equality."
That was The Washington Post's headline about Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
September 29, 2020State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— There is a strong relationship between the 2020 presidential polls in the states and the 2016 results.
— This relationship makes sense given that there is an incumbent on the ballot. In these kinds of elections, we see a very high degree of consistency in the results at the state level.
— There are enough competitive states for Donald Trump to come back and win, but Joe Biden is considerably closer to the magic number of 270 than Trump, based on the polls.
September 29, 2020No, the United States Is Not Systemically Racist By Stephen Moore
In the second half of the 20th century, from 1950 to 2000, Black people in the United States experienced much larger income gains than whites did. The group that had the largest income gains, by far, was Black women. Their incomes nearly doubled over that period (after inflation). The race gap persists, but it is much lower today than it was in 1950. Does this sound like the financial result from a systemically racist country?
September 29, 2020Will Justice Amy Star in 'The Five'? By Patrick J. Buchanan
By nominating Federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, Donald Trump kept his word, and more than that.
September 28, 2020Mail-In Balloting, the 12th Amendment and Impending Doom By Ted Rall
More than 80 million Americans are expected to cast mail-in ballots this fall, representing a 16-fold increase over mail-in ballots in the 2016 election.
This is probably going to cause a constitutional crisis of epic proportions.
September 25, 2020Who's Violating Norms These Days? By Michael Barone
Norms, we are told, matter. Violating norms, recklessly disregarding norms -- these are charges on which President Donald Trump is often arraigned in the court of public opinion.
September 25, 2020All the Chips Are on the Table Now By Patrick J. Buchanan
"As everyone knows, I made it clear that my first choice for the Supreme Court will make history as the first African American woman justice."

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Lockdown Enthusiasts' Risk Aversion Is Producing a More Unequal Society By Michael Barone

Presidential Opinion Polls – The Measured vs. The Observed By Brian C. Joondeph

With Just Weeks to Go, Trump is Not Making up Ground By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Beware of the Flu Shot Bullies By Michelle Malkin

Fake Fact-Checking By John Stossel

Just Who Is the Real Blue-Collar President? By Stephen Moore

Ten Days That Shook the Presidency By Patrick J. Buchanan

Joe Biden Will Be a Republican President By Ted Rall

Worst Presidential Debate Ever By Michael Barone

It's Late, But There's Still Time By Patrick J. Buchanan

Trump Won the Debate – With his Base By Brian C. Joondeph

Biden Lead Looks Firmer as Midwest Moves His Way By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Who's Funding Shady Ballot Harvesting Schemes? By Michelle Malkin

Biased Media By John Stossel

State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

No, the United States Is Not Systemically Racist By Stephen Moore

Will Justice Amy Star in 'The Five'? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Mail-In Balloting, the 12th Amendment and Impending Doom By Ted Rall

Who's Violating Norms These Days? By Michael Barone

All the Chips Are on the Table Now By Patrick J. Buchanan

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

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