After 2022 Setback, GOP Race for 2024 Is Wide Open By Josh Hammer
The 2022 midterm elections were, by any objective measure, tremendously disappointing for Republicans.
Political Commentary
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November 18, 2022
November 18, 2022
A House Popular Vote Majority Produced Few Seats but Is a Good Sign For Republicans in 2024 By Michael Barone
One of the puzzles in this year's surprising and unpredicted (including by me) off-year election results is why the Republicans' 51% to 47% win in the popular vote for House of Representatives did not produce a majority bigger than the apparent 221-214 result. (All numbers here are subject to revision in line with final returns.)
November 17, 2022
Georgia’s Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle By Kyle Kondik
Democrats need a buffer as they face a daunting map.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— The looming Georgia Senate runoff is both the final race of 2022 and the first race of 2024, a Senate cycle in which Democrats are playing a lot of defense.
— The Democrats could run the Senate more smoothly if they can get a “real” majority of 51.
— But the primary importance of the runoff is electoral: Democrats could really use an extra buffer seat as they try to hang on in a couple of years.
November 16, 2022
Magic Cars By John Stossel
Politicians praise electric cars. If everyone buys them, they say, solar and wind power will replace our need for oil.
November 15, 2022
America Was Built on Coal. Now Biden Wants to Abolish It By Stephen Moore
The one promise that President Joe Biden has faithfully kept is his pledge to "close down" fossil fuels. We get two-thirds of our energy in America from fossil fuels, and almost one-third of our power comes from coal. That's quadruple the amount of energy we get from wind and solar, which are niche forms of energy.
November 11, 2022
Trump and Biden Big Losers, DeSantis Big Winner in 2022 By Michael Barone
One way to look at this election is as a repudiation of Donald Trump and Joe Biden.
November 10, 2022
Election Good, Bad and Ugly By John Stossel
The Good: We have divided government. Since Democrats no longer control Congress, they can't bankrupt America quite so fast!
November 8, 2022
Joe Biden Is the King of Debt and Deficits By Stephen Moore
Imagine someone close to you has a drinking problem....
November 8, 2022
Democrats, Not 'Democracy,' at Risk Today by Patrick K. Buchanan
"Make no mistake -- democracy is on the ballot for us all."
November 4, 2022
It Looks Like the Republican Wave Is Coming In By Michael Barone
When you look around at the political scene, less than a week from the 2022 midterm elections, what do you see?
November 3, 2022
Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests By Louis Jacobson
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In our final pre-election handicapping of key down-ballot contests this year, we see 11 secretary of state races and 12 state attorney general races as competitive.
— The races attracting the most attention nationally, understandably, are those that involve Republican nominees who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. Whether such candidates can win this year in such presidential battleground states as Arizona and Nevada could have a big impact on the 2024 presidential race.
— It remains to be seen whether these Trump-aligned candidates can ride the Republican midterm tailwind to victory, or whether GOP voters and GOP-leaning independents decide to pick and choose which Republicans they vote for this year.
November 1, 2022
Who Really Shut Down Our Businesses and Schools? By Stephen Moore
A big issue that has emerged in the final days of the midterm election campaigns is the lockdowns of our schools and businesses during the COVID-19 pandemic.
October 28, 2022
'Save Our Democracy' Is the New 'Russia Collusion' by Patrick Buchanan
At this point, it would save everyone time if Democrats could simply point to a policy agenda item that isn't going to save democracy -- if such a thing exists.
October 28, 2022
Republicans are Going to Win Big in November – Here’s Why by Brian C. Joondeph
If you get your news from Twitter, the New York Times or the Washington Post, or virtually any cable or TV news network...
October 28, 2022
This Campaign's Missing Issues: Foreign Policy and Economic Redistribution by Michael Barone
What issues are the candidates and the parties not talking about? It's worth asking, because sometimes these issues turn out to be important.
October 26, 2022
Betting on 2022 By John Stossel
Some pundits say that Democrats will win the midterms.
October 25, 2022
Biden's Destroying the Economy. Is It Intentional? By Stephen Moore
Everywhere I go, people are mystified about President Joe Biden's economic agenda. So few of the policies comport with basic common sense that I'm asked the same question over and over: Is Biden intentionally trying to take a wrecking ball to the economy?
October 21, 2022
Fundamentals, from COVID to Crime, Favor Republicans By Michael Barone
If Democrats take a drubbing in the off-year elections -- and it seems increasingly likely, but not certain, that they will -- it will be because they lost their moorings when the country seemed to go crazy with excessive COVID closedowns and irrational obsessions about systemic racism.
October 20, 2022
The (Updated) Battle for the Statehouses By Louis Jacobson
Chambers in key swing states like Michigan and Nevada get more competitive.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In what we expect to be our final pre-election look at the nation’s legislatures, we are shifting our ratings for 7 chambers. We are moving 5 chambers in the Democrats’ direction, while 2 move in the Republicans’ direction.
— It’s important not to read too much into the imbalance in these shifts favoring the Democrats. The shifts reflect 2 major changes in the political environment since our last handicapping, which was published in May: the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade, and GOP primaries that anointed polarizing candidates aligned with former President Donald Trump for key top-of-the-ballot contests.
— Overall, the landscape for competitive state legislative chambers this year is fairly neutral, with Republicans playing defense in 7 of the 15 chambers we see as competitive and Democrats playing defense in 8. The Toss-up category includes 7 chambers, 3 currently held by Republicans and 4 held by Democrats.
— Several of the key battleground states with high-profile statewide races also have competitive legislative chambers, such as Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada.
