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Trump Change

Most Recent Releases

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April 29, 2016

Trump Change: 89% of GOP Voters Now Say Trump Is Likely Nominee

Belief that Donald Trump is the likely Republican presidential nominee has soared to its highest level ever and matches perceptions that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic standard-bearer in the fall.

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April 22, 2016

Trump Change: Is ‘The Donald’ Back?

The Trump train appears to be back on track following his big win in Tuesday’s New York primary.

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April 15, 2016

Trump Change: ‘The Donald’ Holds Steady

Can next Tuesday’s New York primary restore Donald Trump’s fortunes?

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April 8, 2016

Trump Change: The Fall Continues

Donald Trump’s reverse momentum continues following his second-place showing in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary.

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April 1, 2016

Trump Change: Is ‘The Donald’ Losing His ‘Big Mo’?

Republicans are less certain this week that Donald Trump will be their party’s eventual presidential nominee.

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March 25, 2016

Trump Change: Most Still See Trump on Track for Nomination

Despite Jeb Bush’s endorsement of Donald Trump’s last serious rival Ted Cruz this week, Republicans continue to believe overwhelmingly that “The Donald” is the GOP’s next likely presidential nominee.

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March 18, 2016

Trump Change: 87% of GOP Voters See Trump As Likely Nominee

Following Donald Trump’s latest round of primary wins on Tuesday, more Republicans than ever believe he will be their party’s presidential nominee this fall.

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March 11, 2016

Trump Change: ‘The Donald’ Is Still Riding High

Belief that Donald Trump will be the Republican presidential nominee remains near record highs.

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March 4, 2016

Trump Change: More GOPers Than Ever Say Trump Very Likely To Be Nominee

Despite two hard-hitting debates and a strong denunciation of Donald Trump by Mitt Romney, the last Republican presidential candidate, voters are even more convinced that Trump will be this year’s GOP nominee.

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February 26, 2016

Trump Change: All Signs Point To 'The Donald'

Decisive victories in South Carolina and Nevada have Republican voters more certain than ever that Donald Trump will be their party’s nominee heading into Super Tuesday.

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February 19, 2016

Trump Change: GOP Voters Still Have High Expectations for Trump Win

Donald Trump’s criticism of the last Republican president has done little to blunt expectations among GOP voters that he will be their party’s presidential nominee in the fall.

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February 12, 2016

Trump Change: 74% of GOP Voters Think Trump Likely Nominee

What a difference a primary makes. After a one-week drop following Donald Trump’s second-place finish in the Iowa caucus, expectations that the New York businessman will be the Republican presidential nominee have jumped back to their highest levels.

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February 5, 2016

Trump Change: ‘The Donald’ Takes A Fall

Donald Trump insists his second-place showing in Monday’s Iowa caucus isn’t bad, but perception among his fellow Republicans that he will be the party’s presidential nominee has fallen sharply this week.

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January 29, 2016

Trump Change: ‘The Donald’ Is Still Flying High

Iowa Republicans choose their presidential favorites on Monday, but right now belief among GOP voters nationwide that Donald Trump will be the party’s eventual nominee is again at its highest level to date.

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January 22, 2016

Trump Change: Trump Still Running Strong With Iowa Looming

Following Sarah Palin’s endorsement and with just over a week to go until the Iowa caucus, Republican voters are more strongly convinced than ever that Donald Trump will be their party’s presidential nominee. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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January 15, 2016

Trump Change: Belief in Trump Nomination Remains High

Going into last night’s debates, expectations remained high among Republican voters that Donald Trump is likely to be the GOP’s presidential nominee.

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January 8, 2016

Trump Change: More Voters Than Ever See Trump As Eventual GOP Nominee

Belief among Republicans that Donald Trump will be the next GOP presidential nominee now ties its highest level ever, and among all likely voters, more than ever agree. 

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December 18, 2015

Trump Change: Trump Treads Water This Week

Confidence that Donald Trump will be next year’s Republican presidential candidate is down slightly following the last GOP pre-primary debate of the year.

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December 11, 2015

Trump Change: ‘The Donald’ Moves Up Again This Week

Belief among Republicans that Donald Trump is their next likely presidential candidate continues to rise despite his condemnation by nearly all the other GOP candidates for proposing a temporary ban on immigrants from Muslim countries.

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December 4, 2015

Trump Change: Trump’s Chances Continue To Improve

Donald Trump’s message still appears to resonate with Republican voters with his perceived chances to clinch the GOP presidential nomination up for the second straight survey. Belief among all voters that he will be the nominee is also up to its highest level since mid-October.