If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

ELECTION 2010: SENATE ELECTIONS

  • Connecticut Senate: McMahon (R) Still Runs Second to Blumenthal (D)

    Republican Linda McMahon receives her highest level of support to date, but she still trails Democratic state Attorney General Richard Blumenthal by seven points in the final Rasmussen Reports look at Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.

    The latest telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Blumenthal picking up 53% of the vote, while McMahon earns 46%. One percent (1%) are still undecided at this point. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    Still, these numbers move the race from Solid Democrat to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

    One week ago, Blumenthal held a double-digit lead over McMahon, 56% to 43%. The Democrat has led consistently in polling since January, and his support has fallen below 50% only twice. In 15 surveys conducted this year, Blumenthal has earned 47% to 60% of the vote. McMahon, the former CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment, has picked up 31% to 46% of the vote in the same surveys.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    This statewide telephone survey of 750 Likely Voters in Connecticut was conducted on October 31, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Rasmussen Reports will release the final numbers from the state’s tightening gubernatorial race later this morning.

    Which party would most Connecticut voters like to put in charge of the U.S. Senate? Do voters in the state think this election is more about President Obama's agenda or more about the candidates themselves? Become a Platinum member to find out.

  • Senate Balance of Power: Dems 48 GOP 45 Toss-Ups 7

    New polling in Connecticut has now moved that senate race from Solid Democrat to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Balance of Power rankings.

  • West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) Still Slightly Ahead of Raese (R)

    Democratic Governor Joe Manchin still holds a slight lead over Republican John Raese in the final hours of West Virginia’s surprisingly close special U.S. Senate race.

    The final Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of the contest finds Manchin with the support of 50% of the state’s Likely Voters, while 46% prefer Raese. One percent (1%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.

    The race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power.

    Five days ago, Manchin edged from behind to a three-point lead, 49% to 46%, the first time he’d been ahead in the race since mid-September. In recent weeks, however, the highly popular governor has repeatedly distanced himself from President Obama and his policies which are highly unpopular in West Virginia.

    Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin and rock guitarist Ted Nugent swung through the state to campaign for Raese on Saturday, but Manchin later told reporters that he, too, was “friends” with Palin. This new survey was taken Sunday night.

    Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, says that this is one of the pivotal races to watch early on Election Night. “If Manchin holds on to a narrow victory as projected, it means the Republicans will have a tough time winning control of the U.S. Senate. If, on other hand, Raese manages to pull off an upset, it means the Republicans will have an even bigger  night than expected and will be favored to take the Senate.”

    Rasmussen has an article in today’s Wall Street Journal  noting that Tuesday’s election results reflect a loss for the Democrats but not a win for the Republicans.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

    The survey of 750 Likely Voters in West Virginia was conducted on October 31, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    What percentage of voters in the state say this race is mostly about the Obama agenda? Which candidate is viewed as more mainstream? How important is Raese’s house in Florida to voters? Become a Platinum member and find out. 

  • Arkansas Senate : Lincoln (D) Still Far Behind Boozman (R)

    Arkansas Senator Blanche Lincoln remains on track to be the one Senate Democrat sure to lose her job on Election Day.

  • New Hampshire Senate: Ayotte (R) Stretches Lead Over Hodes (D)

    Republican Kelly Ayotte earns her highest level of support yet against Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate race. 

    A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Ayotte leading Hodes 56% to 41%.  Two percent (2%) favor another candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    This race moves from Leans Republican to Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

    Earlier this month, Ayotte led Hodes 51% to 44%.  Ayotte has consistently held the lead over Hodes since early February, with support ranging from 46% to 56%. In that same time period, Hodes has earned 35% to 44% of the vote.

    This survey was taken the night before the candidates' final debate on Thursday.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

    This statewide telephone survey of 750 Likely Voters in New Hampshire was conducted on October 27, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Which candidate do New Hampshire voters regard as the most mainstream? Which party do they want to see control the U.S. Senate? How does the health care bill play in the state? Become a Platinum member and find out. 

  • Ohio Senate: Portman (R) Maintains Sizable Lead Over Fisher (D)

    Republican Rob Portman enters the closing days of the Ohio Senate race with a lead of over 20 points on Democratic Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Portman, a former congressman and Bush administration official, with 57% of the vote to Fisher’s 33%. Just three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, but seven percent (7%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

    This race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Link At stake is the seat held by retiring Republican Senator George Voinovich.

    Two weeks ago, Portman posted a nearly identical 57% to 34% lead.  Prior to that survey, the GOP candidate has led his Democratic opponent in nearly every survey since February with 42% to 51% of the vote. Fisher, a longtime political figure in the state, has picked up 37% to 43% support in that same period. The race was tied in May and early June, but Portman has been pulling away since then. 

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Additional data from this survey will be released at www.rasmussenreports.com/Ohio. 
     Republican challenger John Kasich holds a slim lead over Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the Ohio gubernatorial race.

    How strong is Portman's support among Ohio Democrats? How do Ohio voters feel about repeal of the health care bill these days? Which candidate's views are seen as more mainstream? Become a Platinum member and find out.

  • Arizona Senate: McCain (R) Runs Far Ahead of Glassman (D)

    Longtime Republican Senator John McCain appears on track to an easy reelection Tuesday in Arizona.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows McCain picking up 52% of the vote, while his Democratic challenger Rodney Glassman draws support from 32%. Nine percent (9%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

    This race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power Rankings

    Earlier this month, McCain held a similar 54% to 33% lead over Glassman, the former vice mayor of Tucson. McCain, a member of the U.S. Senate since 1987, has received 52% to 57% of the vote in matchups with Glassman since April. Support for the Democrat has ranged from 28% to 37% over the same period.

    (Want a  free daily e-mail update  ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.  

    The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 28, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    Incumbent Republican Jan Brewer remains well ahead of Arizona’s Democratic Attorney General Terry Goddard in the  state’s gubernatorial contest.

    How deep is McCain's support among Democrats? How do Tea Party members feel about the GOP incumbent these days? How strong is support for repeal of the health care bill in Arizona? Become a Platinum member and find out. 

  • Florida Senate: Rubio (R) Grows His Lead Over Crist (I), Meek (D)

    Republican Marco Rubio remains the front-runner in Florida's contentious three-way U.S. Senate race.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rubio, a former speaker of the Florida House, picking up 43% of the vote, while Republican Governor Charlie Crist who is running as an independent captures 32%. Democrat Kendrick Meek remains in third place with 20% of the vote. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    The race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

    Last week, Rubio held a 50% to 25% edge over Crist, his best showing in the race to date. Prior to that time, Rubio has led the race in every survey since July, with his support steadily rising from the mid-30s to the low 40s. During that same period, Crist received 30% to 34% of the vote. Support for Meek, a U.S. congressman since 2003, has climbed from 15% to 23% in those surveys.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    This statewide telephone survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.  Additional data from this survey will be released at www.rasmussenreports.com/Florida.

    How successful is Crist in peeling away Democratic votes from Meek? What do Florida voters think about the job market? Become a Platinum member to find out.

  • Pennsylvania Senate: Toomey (R), Sestak (D) Locked in A Tight Race

    Republican Pat Toomey still holds a small lead over Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak in the closing days of Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Toomey picking up 50% of the vote to Sestak's 46%. One percent (1%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

    This race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings

    A week ago, Toomey, a conservative activist who previously served in Congress, held a similar 48% to 44% edge over Sestak. The recent tightening of the race comes from an increase in support for Sestak, while Toomey’s support remains fairly steady. Sestak’s support is now at its highest level since mid-May, following a brief bounce after his Democratic Primary win over incumbent Senator Arlen Specter.

    At the same time, the latest results mark the first time Toomey has reached 50% since polling of the race began in February. Prior to today’s release, Toomey has earned 42% to 49% support since February, while Sestak has picked up 36% to 46% of the vote.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania was conducted on October 28, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    More information from this survey will be released at RasmussenReports.com/Pennsylvania.

    Rasmussen Reports will release new numbers from the Pennsylvania governor's race this weekend.

    Would most Pennsylvania voters rather see Republicans or Democrats in charge of the new Congress? Which candidate has more supporters who've already made up their minds how they will vote on Tuesday? Become a Platinum Member to find out.

  • Kentucky Senate: Paul (R) Enjoys Double Digit Lead

    Following the uproar over Democrat Jack Conway’s ad criticizing his opponent’s college antics and questioning his religious faith, Republican Rand Paul has taken a 12-point lead in Kentucky’s bitter U.S. Senate race.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state, taken Wednesday night, shows Paul with 53% support to Conway’s 41%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    After narrowing somewhat last week,  the race moves back to where it’s been for most of the year. As a result, it’s moving back from Leans Republican to Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.  In 12 surveys prior to last week, Paul had led by seven to 15 points each time, earning 46% to 59% of the vote. Conway, Kentucky’s current attorney general, picked up 34% to 42% support in those same surveys.

    The candidates held their final debate on Monday night, and Democrats are now trying to capitalize on a violent incident outside the debate involving a Paul supporter and an liberal activist. Former President Clinton is scheduled to come to the state on Monday to campaign for Conway.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Kentucky was conducted on October 27, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    How big is the backlash against Conway’s ad? Will Clinton’s visit make a big difference in the Democrat’s support? What do Kentucky voters think of President Obama these days? Become a Platinum member and find out.