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Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia, but the presidential race remains a toss-up in the Old Dominion.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Last week, Romney hit the 50% mark for the first time here, while Obama earned 47% of the vote. With the exception of last week, however, the candidates have been within two points or less of each other in every survey in Virginia since April.

Virginia continues to be a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

Ninety-two percent (92%) of the state’s voters now say they’ve made up their minds whom they will vote for. That’s up four points from last week.  Romney leads 52% to 48% among these voters.

Virginia voters trust Romney more than the president by a 51% to 46% margin when it comes to handling the economy. This is unchanged from a week ago. When it comes to national security and energy policy, it’s a near tie, with Romney posting a one-point edge over Obama in terms of voter trust on both issues. These findings are comparable to voter attitudes nationally.

Forty-eight percent (48%) in Virginia expect the economy to get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Just 38% think that’s likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. If Romney wins, 38% believe the economy will get worse, compared to 42% who feel that will be the case if Obama wins.

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Twenty percent (20%) of Virginia voters now consider the U.S. economy god or excellent, while 45% describe it as poor. Thirty-six percent (36%) think the economy is getting better, but 41% say it’s getting worse.

Obama leads among voters who give the economy positive marks, while Romney is well ahead in the larger group that rates the economy as poor.

The Republican challenger leads by 15 among male voters in the state but trails by 10 among female voters. He has a small 49% to 45% advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Romney is viewed favorably by 52% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 46%. This includes 39% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 31% with a Very Unfavorable one.

For Obama, favorables are 51% and unfavorables 47%. This includes 39% with a Very Favorable view of the president and 40% with a Very Unfavorable one.

In 2008, Obama was the first Democrat to win Virginia since 1964 when he carried the state with 53% of the vote. Fifty percent (50%) of the state’s voters now approve of the job he is doing as president, while 49% disapprove. He earns Strong Approval from 40% and Strong Disapproval from 42%.

In addition to Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, MaineMassachusettsMichiganMinnesota, New MexicoPennsylvania and Washington. Romney leads in ArizonaFlorida, IndianaMissouri, North Carolina and North Dakota.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only. 

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