If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-four percent (44%) disapprove.

The latest figures include 31% of who Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing as president and 34% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -3 (see trends).

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

Hillary Clinton has slipped one point ahead of Donald Trump in the latest White House Watch survey.

Despite the insistence by some in the Clinton camp and some of the major media that the election is all over, early voting patterns appear to show it’s still a tight race in the battleground states. We’ll release new numbers out of Nevada at 10:30 a.m. Eastern today.

Democrats are more likely than other voters to say they plan to vote early this year if their state allows it, but voters overall are more likely than they’ve been in the past to say they’ll wait until Election Day to cast their vote.

Clinton said she was shocked at Trump’s statement during last week’s debate that he will wait until the election results are final before accepting them because he's concerned about potential voter fraud. But most voters think that’s the right decision.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) think voters should be required to show photo identification such as a driver’s license before being allowed to vote, and 61% don't believe laws requiring photo identification at the polls discriminate against some voters as critics claim.

(More below)

Obamacare continues to implode, with the Obama administration acknowledging yesterday that health insurance premiums for millions of Americans will jump by double digits next year. A plurality (44%) of Democrats thinks taxpayers should help Americans pay these increased insurance rates, but most Republicans (64%) and voters not affiliated with either major party (55%) disagree.

Most voters have disliked Obamacare from the start and have predicted that it will increase rather than decrease health care costs.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of voters think the country is headed in the right direction.

(More below)

Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.