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Election 2012: Wisconsin President

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

Thursday, November 01, 2012

Wisconsin which may prove to be the key to the entire presidential contest remains a tie less than a week before Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama and Mitt Romney each earning 49% support. Two percent (2%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Wisconsin remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama carried Wisconsin by a 56% to 42% margin in 2008.

The race in the Badger State was also tied last week after the president has led there in most surveys since October of last year. During that time, Obama has earned 44% to 52% of the vote, while Romney's support has ranged from 41% to 49%.

Former Governor Tommy Thompson leads Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin 48% to 47% in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race.

Twenty-five percent (25%) of likely Wisconsin voters have already voted, and the president leads 56% to 41% among these voters.

Voters in the state trust Romney more than the president by just two points - 50% to 48% - when it comes to handling the economy. Obama has a three-point edge in voter trust - 50% to 47% - in the area of energy policy and leads by one - 49% to 48% - when it comes to national security. Among voters nationwide, Romney leads by seven on the economy, and the two are nearly tied in the other areas.

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This Wisconsin survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Fourteen percent (14%) of Wisconsin voters rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 38% describe it as poor. Forty-two percent (42%) say the economy is getting better, but 37% think it is getting worse.

Forty-five percent (45%) expect the economy to improve if Romney is elected and Republicans take over Congress, compared to 38% who say that's likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats are in charge on Capitol Hill. Thirty-eight percent (38%) predict that the economy will get worse if Romney wins, while 40% believe that will be the case if Obama triumphs.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of Romney, while 48% regard him unfavorably. This includes 40% with a Very Favorable view and 38% with a Very Unfavorable one.

The president is also viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 48%.  His Very Favorables are 37%, his Very Unfavorables 40%.

Fifty-two percent (52%) now approve of the job Obama is doing, while 48% disapprove. This includes Strong Approval from 36% and Strong Disapproval from 42%.

In addition to Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia are Toss-Ups. Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington. Romney is ahead in ArizonaIndianaMissouri, North Carolina and North Dakota.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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