Republican Rob Portman enters the closing days of the Ohio Senate race with a lead of over 20 points on Democratic Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Portman, a former congressman and Bush administration official, with 57% of the vote to Fisher’s 33%. Just three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, but seven percent (7%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording,
click here
.)
This race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Link At stake is the seat held by retiring Republican Senator George Voinovich.
Two weeks ago
, Portman posted a nearly identical 57% to 34% lead.
Prior to that survey, the GOP candidate has led his Democratic opponent in nearly every survey since February with 42% to 51% of the vote. Fisher, a longtime political figure in the state, has picked up 37% to 43% support in that same period. The race was tied in May and early June, but Portman has been pulling away since then.
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The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by
Pulse Opinion Research, LLC
. See
methodology
.
Additional data from this survey will be released at
www.rasmussenreports.com/Ohio
.
Republican challenger John Kasich holds a slim lead over Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the
Ohio gubernatorial race
.
How strong is Portman's support among Ohio Democrats? How do Ohio voters feel about repeal of the health care bill these days? Which candidate's views are seen as more mainstream? Become a
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Republican Rob Portman enters the closing days of the Ohio Senate race with a lead of over 20 points on Democratic Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Portman, a former congressman and Bush administration official, with 57% of the vote to Fisher’s 33%. Just three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, but seven percent (7%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording,
click here
.)
This race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Link At stake is the seat held by retiring Republican Senator George Voinovich.
Two weeks ago
, Portman posted a nearly identical 57% to 34% lead.
Prior to that survey, the GOP candidate has led his Democratic opponent in nearly every survey since February with 42% to 51% of the vote. Fisher, a longtime political figure in the state, has picked up 37% to 43% support in that same period. The race was tied in May and early June, but Portman has been pulling away since then.
(Want a
free daily e-mail update
? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).
Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on
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The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 26, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by
Pulse Opinion Research, LLC
. See
methodology
.
Additional data from this survey will be released at
www.rasmussenreports.com/Ohio
.
Republican challenger John Kasich holds a slim lead over Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland in the
Ohio gubernatorial race
.
Ohio allows early voting. Among those who have already voted, Portman leads 51% to 43%.
Eighty-six percent (86%) of Portman voters and 80% of Fisher supporters are certain now how they will vote on Tuesday.
Portman earns the support of 88% of Republicans and 25% of Democrats in the state. Just 63% of Ohio Democrats prefer Fisher. Voters not affiliated with either major political party favor the Republican by better than two-to-one.
Roughly half of all voters in the state (49%) think Portman’s views are mainstream, while just 33% say the same of Fisher's views. Twenty-two percent (22%) think the Republican's views are extreme, but 38% feel that way about the Democrat's. Yet three-in-10 voters don't know enough about either man's views to express an opinion.
Sixty-one percent (61%) of Ohio voters favor repeal of the national health care bill, while 33% oppose repeal. This includes 51% who Strongly Favor repeal and 22% who are Strongly Opposed. This is higher support for repeal than is
found nationally
.
Voinovich opposed the health care bill, and 89% of Ohio voters who Strongly Favor repeal support Portman. Fisher has the backing of 81% of those who Strongly Oppose repeal.
Twenty-five percent of Ohio voters consider themselves part of the Tea Party, higher than the
level of participation found nationally
. Sixty-one percent (61%) do not consider themselves part of the grassroots movement, and another 14% are not sure.
Ninety-two percent (92%) of Tea Party members support Portman. Among non-members, Fisher earns 50% support to Portman's 41%.
Sixty-six percent (66%) of all Ohio voters have a favorable impression of Portman, including 35% with a Very Favorable impression. Twenty-five percent (25%) have an unfavorable view of the Republican, including 13% Very Unfavorable. Fisher is viewed favorably 39% and unfavorably by 50%, with 16% Very Favorable and 30% Very Unfavorable.
Barack Obama carried Ohio with 51% of the vote in the November 2008 election, but just 42% of voters in the state now approve of the job he is doing as president. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove. This is comparable to the job approval ratings the president earns nationally in the
Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll
.
For more data from this survey,
see toplines
. Check
crosstabs
for a deeper look.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In Ohio, Rasmussen Reports showed Obama and McCain tied at 49% in a race that Obama won 51% to 47%. In 2004, Rasmussen polling showed Bush defeating Kerry in Ohio by a 50% to 46% margin. Bush won 51% to 49%.
In the 2006 Ohio race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Sherrod Brown beating Mike DeWine by 11 points, 54% to 43%. Brown won by 12, 56% to 44%. In the 2006 race for governor, Rasmussen polling showed Strickland leading Ken Blackwell by 25 points, 59% to 34%. Strickland won by 23, 60% to 37%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for
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,
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and
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.
See 2006 results for
Senate
and
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See
2004 state results for president
.
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