Michigan: Kerry 46% Bush 44%
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).