26% Say Election Will Be Too Close to Call
Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters are expecting a repeat of Election 2000 this year--an election that is too close to call.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters are expecting a repeat of Election 2000 this year--an election that is too close to call.
On the third anniversary of the terrorist attacks that claimed over 3,000 innocent lives, 80% of Americans agree that the attacks changed America forever. However, they are divided as to whether those changes have been for better or worse.
Just 14% of Americans watched a parade or participated in some other event to formally celebrate Labor Day 2004.
Forty-nine percent (49%) of Americans now believe the U.S. is safer than it was before the 9/11 terrorist attacks. That's up six-points from mid-July and up thirteen-points improvement since our sovereignty was transferred to Iraq.
We have been flooded with e-mails asking (in varying tones of politeness) why our poll results seem different from those released by Time and Newsweek.
President Bush gained more than five percentage points over John Kerry during the past three weeks. About half the gains were made before the Republican National Convention and half during Convention week.
Democratic Senator Zell Miller gave a Keynote Address at the Republican National Convention that many reporters instantly branded as bad news for the Republican Party and George W. Bush. However, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds that voter perceptions of Miller are sharply divided along partisan lines.
Sixty-six percent (66%) of America's Likely Voters believe that, in political terms, George W. Bush is a conservative.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of Americans now believe that President Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney will be re-elected this November. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that just 38% expect the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards to emerge victorious.
First Lady Laura Bush earned higher favorability ratings than any other speaker at the Republican National Convention. The President's wife is viewed favorably by 67% of American voters and unfavorably by just 20%.
As the Republican Convention is being held in New York, President Bush is viewed favorably by 54% of American voters and unfavorably by another 45%.
The Hudson Employment Index (SM) continued its ascent in August to 108.9, marking a half-point increase from July and revealing another small, yet steady rise in employee confidence in the labor market.
In Maryland, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 54% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maryland 57% to 40%.
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.
A month ago, Kerry was ahead by a similar 50% to 44% margin. Two months ago, Kerry had a two-point lead in Michigan, 46% to 44%. Three months ago, it was Kerry 47% Bush 41% in our Michigan poll.
Most Americans (53%) discuss the War in Iraq with family, friends, and co-workers at least once a week. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that 28% discuss the War occasionally while only 17% rarely or never bring up the subject.
In Texas, Bush now leads Massachusetts Senator John Kerry 57% to 38%. In our last survey, he was ahead 55% to 37%. Four years ago, Bush won his home state 59% to 38%.
In South Carolina, President Bush's lead is half what it was in our last survey. The latest Rasmussen Reports numbers show President Bush with 52% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 43%.
In Pennsylvania, Senator John Kerry leads President George Bush 49% to 45% in the latest Rasmussen Reports survey.
One the eve of the Republican National Convention, Massachusetts voters prefer their home state Senator over President Bush by a 58% to 36% margin.
Four years ago, without the home state advantage, Al Gore defeated Bush in Massachusetts 60% to 33%. Our last Bay State survey, released just prior to the Democratic National Convention, showed Kerry with a 60% to 31% lead.
New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November. However, the Democrats' lead in the state is a bit smaller now than it was a month ago.