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Election 2012: North Carolina President

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46%

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Mitt Romney continues to hold a six-point lead in North Carolina with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Barack Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race remains unchanged from a week ago, so North Carolina remains Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections.  In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry North Carolina in over 30 years.

However, the president leads 52% to 46% among the 35% in North Carolina who have already voted.  Among the 92% who say they are certain to vote in this year’s election, Romney leads 57% to 41%.

North Carolina voters trust Romney more than the president by a 51% to 42% margin when it comes to handling the economy and 52% to 44% on energy policy.

But the former governor holds a narrower 50% to 47% edge in voter trust when it comes to national security. Nationally, voters trust Romney more by seven points on the economy, while the candidates are almost evenly divided in the areas of national security and energy policy.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

Forty-nine percent (49%) in North Carolina expect the economy to get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Just 39% think that’s likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. If Romney wins, 33% believe the economy will get worse, compared to 43% who feel that will be the case if Obama wins.

Just 13% of North Carolina voters rate the current U.S. economy as good or excellent, while 44% view it as poor. Thirty-three percent (33%) believe economic conditions are getting better, but 41% say they are getting worse.

Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of North Carolina voters and unfavorably by 41%. This includes 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 29% with a Very Unfavorable one.

For Obama, favorables are 49% and unfavorables 51%. This includes 34% with a Very Favorable view of the president and 43% with a Very Unfavorable one.

In 2008, Obama edged Republican John McCain in North Carolina with 50% of the vote. Forty-eight percent (48%) of the state’s voters now approve of the job he is doing as president, while 51% disapprove. This includes Strong Approval from 30% and Strong Disapproval from 44%. These ratings are in line with those measured nationally.

Male voters in North Carolina prefer Romney by a 66% to 31%, while female voters support the president more, 58% to 40%.

Romney draws support from 93% of North Carolina Republicans and 22% of the state's Democrats. The president has the backing of just 77% of voters in his own party. But Obama is ahead 50% to 44% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

In addition to North Carolina, Romney is ahead in ArizonaIndianaMissouri and North Dakota.  Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, MassachusettsMichigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and WashingtonColorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin are Toss-Ups. 

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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