If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Election 2012: Virginia President

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Monday, November 05, 2012

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia just before Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is unchanged from two weeks ago and the week before that when it was Romney 50%, Obama 47%.

Virginia which is critical to Romney’s fortunes in the election remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections as it has been in surveys for months.  Polls close in Virginia tomorrow at 7 pm Eastern. The results from the state will be an early indicator of how the election is going: If Romney loses Virginia, he is unlikely to win the election.

Ninety-three percent (93%) of the state’s voters say they have made up their minds how they will vote, and the race is 50%-50% among these voters.

Romney has the support of 90% of Virginia Republicans and leads 58% to 37% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. The president has 93% backing from the state’s Democrats.

Virginia voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy by a 51% to 45% margin. The challenger leads the president by two points – 49% to 47% - in terms of voter trust when it comes to national security and energy policy. These numbers are essentially unchanged from two weeks ago.

While the economy remains the number one issue on voters’ minds as they go to the polls, neither candidate has convinced voters in the state that he is clearly the better alternative. Forty-six percent (46%) think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take over Congress, but only slightly fewer (40%) say the same is true if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress.  Thirty-eight percent (38%) expect the economy to get worse if Romney wins, compared to 43% who predict a worsening economy if the president wins. This, too, has changed little.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry Virginia since 1964. He won with 53% of the vote in the state. Now 51% of Virginia voters approve of the job he is doing, while 49% disapprove. This includes Strong Approval from 38% and Strong Disapproval from 43%. This is basically unchanged from recent surveys.

The president is viewed favorably by 50% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 49%. Thirty-seven percent (37%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama, while 43% regard him Very Unfavorably.

Romney is seen favorably by 50% and unfavorably by 47%, with Very Favorables of 40% and Very Unfavorables of 36%. This also is in line with recent surveys.

Nineteen percent (19%) of voters in the Old Dominion State rate the U.S. economy good or excellent, but 42% describe it as poor. Voters are evenly divided over whether the economy is getting better or worse: 41% say yes, 41% no.

In addition to Virginia, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin are Toss-Ups. Romney is ahead in ArizonaIndianaMissouri, Montana, North Carolina and North Dakota.  Obama is ahead in Connecticut, Maine, MassachusettsMichigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Washington.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.