And an updated word on Mississippi.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— North Carolina’s open-seat race is clearly the marquee contest of 2024’s gubernatorial races. It starts as a Toss-up.
— The other contests start with clear favorites despite several open seats.
— If popular Republican incumbents run for another term, the GOP should be in great shape to hold New Hampshire and Vermont. But they would be great Democratic opportunities as open seats.
— Mississippi moves to Likely Republican following the entry of a credible Democratic candidate after our initial 2023 rating release last week.