Commentary by Douglas Schoen

Most Recent Releases

May 19, 2008Support for Clinton as Independent Candidate Not Surprising By Douglas Schoen
  
Hillary Clinton's support as an Independent candidate
     in a hypothetical 5-way Presidential race should not come as a surprise.
May 15, 2008Hillary Clinton as Independent Candidate for President? By Douglas Schoen
  
In a poll released by Rasmussen Reports yesterday, 29% of Democrats say that Hillary Clinton should run for president as an Independent,
     if she does not win the Democratic Party nomination. 
February 22, 2008For McCain and Obama, the Fighting Has Just Begun: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The presidential primary races have almost finished and the two current front runners for their respective parties have a striking similarity – they both have an appeal that extends beyond their party base.
February 7, 2008The Meaning of Super Tuesday: A Commentary By Douglas E. Schoen
  
The Republican Party has effectively chosen its nominee. That nominee is John McCain. 
December 15, 2007The Two Races for President and the Race within the Race: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
  
There are two underlying trends that have emerged when examining recent poll results. 
December 11, 2007Changes in the Democratic Race: A Commentary By Douglas E. Schoen
  
I have argued for the last couple of months that the Democratic primary race has been static, representing a strong, if not dominant position for Hillary Clinton. 
December 6, 2007The Democratic Race Appears Static: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
  
Several recent polls and the Real Clear Politics Averages have suggested that Hillary Clinton no longer leads the Democratic race in Iowa, raising questions about her inevitability as the Democratic nominee. 

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                            November 28, 2007Who Benefits From the Huckabee Surge in Iowa?: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The new Rasmussen Iowa numbers taken together with earlier polls taken by ABC News and the Washington Post, throw many assumptions about the likely result of the Republican Presidential primary into doubt.
November 21, 2007What is Really Happening in Iowa?: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The race among Democrats is too close to call. Drawing any finer distinction will drive the analysts to distraction as there are so many polls being done it is impossible to divine a clear trend indicating which way the race is going.
November 14, 2007Why Romney Remains Compelling: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
According to Real Clear Politics, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to enjoy a solid double digit lead in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
November 5, 2007Much Ado About Nothing: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
With the publication of two polls this week showing no change in the Democratic nomination for President, it seems clear that Hillary Clinton's position is most likely more secure than many in the media and her opponents would like it to be.
October 31, 2007Where The Republican Primary Stands Now: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
  
The Republican Presidential Nomination contest could go any of three or four different directions.
October 22, 2007Bill O'Reilly Will Probably Owe Dick Morris Dinner - A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The most recent Rasmussen Republican Presidential primary numbers show Mike Huckabee increasing his share of the vote to 8%.
October 19, 2007Torture As An Election Issue: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
Rasmussen Reports recent data sheds light on an important question facing the U.S. as we approach the 2008 election: who will the issue of torture help in the upcoming Presidential election

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                            October 15, 2007The Mood of the Country Revisited: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
  
Rasmussen Reports has just issued an important new analysis of data about attitudes toward the leading candidates for President that bears further discussion.

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                            October 12, 2007What Voters Are Focusing On: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
  
"It's the Economy Stupid" remains the manta of the electorate. To be sure, the electorate clearly wants the candidates for President and their elected officials to focus on economic concerns.

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                            October 10, 2007Where Things Stand (Good News for Democrats): A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
Rasmussen's recent polling suggests compellingly that the Democratic Party maintains an enormously strong advantage over the Republican on all of the indicators that are monitored monthly.

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                            October 8, 2007Why Bush Has To Compromise on Children's Health - A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
A recently released poll by Rasmussen provides compelling evidence why President Bush used his Saturday radio address to indicate he is prepared to compromise with Congress on funding the State's Children Health Insurance Program.

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                            October 5, 2007Americans Want Hawkish Attitude Towards Iran: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The American people have clearly spent a great deal of time thinking about Iran and President Ahmadinejad.

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                            October 4, 2007Behind the Horse Race Numbers: Edwards Strongest Democrat in General Election Match-ups; A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
  
The most recent Rasmussen Reports data show that all of the most likely Democratic nominees lead their strongest prospective opponents.