If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.


Bill O'Reilly Will Probably Owe Dick Morris Dinner

A Commentary by Douglas Schoen

The most recent Rasmussen Republican Presidential primary numbers show Mike Huckabee increasing his share of the vote to 8%. And while Rudy Guiliani leads with 24% and Fred Thompson has 21%, both have seen their share of the vote drop in recent weeks. Neither Mitt Romney or John McCain has broken 15% recently either.

This gives Mike Huckabee a real opportunity to become the candidate of the Republican right and demonstrate the kind of support he showed at Saturday's values voters convention when he finished within 30 votes of Mitt Romney and won the support of those who attended the gathering and voted in person(as opposed to online) by five to one.

Indeed, the Iowa numbers Rasmussen collected this week confirm that Dick Morris is well on his way to collecting on his bet from Bill O'Reilly. Morris is supposed to collect dinner if Huckabee reaches double digits in national polling.

In Rasmussen's Iowa poll, Huckabee is up to 18%. He trails Thompson by 1% and Romney by 7%. At the very least these numbers suggest, the Iowa Republican caucus is still wide open and that Huckabee is more likely than not to be a very strong contender.

Douglas Schoen is a founding and former partner of Penn Schoen & Berland, and a Fox News Contributor.

Schoen was President Bill Clinton's research and strategic consultant during the 1996 reelection campaign.

Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data.

To learn more about our methodology, click here.