Rasmussen Reports

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today. »

-Larry Sabato, University of Virginia

« Rasmussen, an organization with fast zeitgeist reflexes.... «

-The Politico

« If it's in the news it's in our polls. «

« The best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com «

-Michael Barone, The Washington Examiner`

« If you really want to know what people in America think, you can't find a better place to look than Rasmussen Reports «

-Susan Estrich

« If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y.Times, go with Rasmussen! »

-Mickey Kaus, Slate Magazine
Premium MembershipLoginSignup
Search
Sign up for free daily updates
Advertisement
Advertisement

Election 2010: Nevada Senate
Nevada Senate: Reid Runs Second To Four GOP Opponents
Email a Friend Email to a Friend
Advertisement

Harry Reid may soon have one more Republican opponent in Nevada’s race for the U.S. Senate, and his numbers remain in troublesome territory for an incumbent. Reid, like a number of Democratic Senate incumbents, appears to be suffering from voter unhappiness over the national health care plan and the continuing bad state of the economy.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Reid earning 39% to 41% of the vote against any of four GOP challengers. Still, that’s an improvement from last month when he picked up just 36% against his top two opponents. But Reid had 43% support against those two Republicans in December.

His Republican opponents, meanwhile, are not doing as well this month, down slightly from the 50% high they’ve hit in the previous surveys. This continues to suggest that the race is still about Reid and not about them.

Any incumbent who is earning less than 50% at this juncture is considered vulnerable. Reid, who is seeking a fifth term, received 61% of the final vote in 2004.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

Businessman Danny Tarkanian now leads Reid 47% to 39%. Sue Lowden, ex-chairman of the Nevada Republican Party, holds a 45% to 39% lead on the Senate majority leader, while former Assemblywoman Sharron Angle earns 44% of the vote to Reid’s 40%.

Nevada Lieutenant Governor Brian Krolicki, another Republican who is now reportedly considering entering the race, barely edges Reid 44% to 41%. A judge in December dismissed an indictment against Krolicki alleging that he mishandled money while serving as state treasurer. Krolicki charged that the indictment was politically motivated.

In all four matchups, those who prefer another candidate or are undecided are in single digits.

Male voters prefer the Republicans by double-digit margins in all four potential contests, while female voters trend slightly toward Reid. Voters not affiliated with either party break strongly toward the Republicans, particularly when Tarkanian is the choice.

Nevada Republicans will pick their Senate candidate in a June 8 primary.

Forty-two percent (42%) of Nevada voters say their finances are good or excellent, while 17% say their finances are poor. But while 26% think their own finances are getting better, 45% say they are getting worse.

Forty-six percent (46%) believe it is possible to balance the federal budget without raising taxes, but 38% disagree.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) favor an across-the-board tax cut for all Americans, while 28% are opposed. Fifty-seven percent (57%) think cutting taxes is a better way to create jobs than increasing government spending. Only 14% say increased spending is a better way to go.

Fifty percent (50%) of voters in Nevada say the United States and its allies are winning the war on terror, but 26% say the terrorists are on top.

Still, voters in the state are pretty pessimistic about how safe it is in America these days. Thirty-six percent (36%) believe the country is safer today than it was before the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Forty-nine percent (49%) disagree with that assessment.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) trust the judgment of the American people more than that of the nation’s political leaders when it comes to important national issues. Fourteen percent (14%) trust the leaders’ judgment more.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) in Nevada say the federal government has become a special interest group, while 75% say the government and big business often work together to hurt consumers and investors.

Indicative of this is that while 16% of Nevada voters have a very favorable view of the longtime senator, 46% regard him very unfavorably.

Twelve percent (12%) have a very favorable view of Lowden, while 11% see her very unfavorably. For Tarkanian, very favorables are 16% and very unfavorables 13%. Angle is regarded very favorably by eight percent (8%) and very unfavorably by 12%.

Fourteen percent (14%) have a very favorable view of Krolicki, and 12% think of him very unfavorably.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Barack Obama won 55% of the vote in Nevada in November 2008. Now 46% of voters in the state approve of how President Obama is performing, with 27% who strongly approve. Fifty-four percent (54%) disapprove of the president’s job performance, including 45% who strongly disapprove. This is a higher level of disapproval than is found nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) approve of Republican Governor Jim Gibbons’ job performance, while 59% disapprove.

Other Democratic Senate incumbents who currently trail their challengers include Harry Reid in Nevada, Michael Bennet in Colorado, Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas and Arlen Specter in Pennsylvania. Democrats Barbara Boxer from California, Evan Bayh of Indiana and Russ Feingold of Wisconsin find themselves in potentially more competitive races than usual.

Republicans lead open-seat Senate races in Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Kentucky, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Dakota and Ohio.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters in NV
February 3, 2010

Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race

Sue Lowden (R)

45%

Harry Reid (D)

39%

Some other candidate

8%

Not sure

8%

Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race

Danny Tarkanian (R)

47%

Harry Reid (D)

39%

Other

8%

Not sure

6%

Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race

Sharron Angle (R)

44%

Harry Reid (D)

40%

Other

7%

Not sure

8%

Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race

Brian Krolicki (R)

44%

Harry Reid (D)

41%

Other

7%

Not sure

8%

TOP STORIES

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

75% Are Angry At Government’s Current Policies

Americans Reject Keynesian Economics

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls

Republicans Still Trusted More on Most Key Issues

45% Agree With CBS’ Decision To Run Tebow Ad, 30% Disagree

83% Blame Deficit on Politicians’ Unwillingness To Cut Spending

Holder's Premature Mirandization of Suspect By Debra J. Saunders

Politically Speaking, Populist Isn’t Popular, But Conservative Is

Obama’s Budget: Fiscal Armageddon By Howard Rich

Advertisement