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October 31, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 50%, Mandel (R) 48%

Incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has hit the 50% mark for the first time in his bid for reelection in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Brown with 50% support to Republican challenger Josh Mandel’s 48%. One percent (1%) like another candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 54%, Dalton (D) 35%

Republican Pat McCrory continues to hold a comfortable lead over Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton in North Carolina’s gubernatorial race. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds McCrory with 54% support to Dalton’s 35%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while a sizable 10% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 46%, Democrats 43%

Republicans now lead Democrats by three points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending October 28, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Democrat instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 22-28, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

76% Say U.S. Society is Ruder, Less Civilized

Most Americans continue to feel their fellow citizens are becoming ruder and less civilized, and half say they have actually confronted someone over their behavior.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 76% of American Adults think their fellow Americans are becoming ruder and less civilized. Just 11% think Americans are becoming kinder and gentler, but 13% are not sure. This is consistent with findings in surveys since September 2009. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 24-25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 51%, McMahon (R) 45%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy moves to his biggest lead yet over Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 51% of the vote to McMahon’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Ohio: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

The race for Ohio’s Electoral College votes remains very close but now Mitt Romney now has a two-point advantage.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Ohio: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

The race for Ohio’s Electoral College votes remains very close but now Mitt Romney now has a two-point advantage.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46%

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.

Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%.  Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

White letter R on blue background
October 29, 2012

Changing Demographics Won't Mean the End of Republican Party By Michael Barone

When reading one of the endless stories about a just-released poll Thursday night, a pair of numbers struck my eye: 60 and 37.

October 29, 2012

54% Favor Repeal of Obama’s Health Care Law

Mitt Romney says he will repeal President Obama’s national health care law if he is elected, and most voters continue to believe that’s a good idea.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters favor repeal of the health care law, while just 39% are opposed. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal, and 30% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 27-28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 49%, Mack (R) 46%

Incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson holds just a three-point lead now in Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 49% support to 46% for his Republican challenger, Congressman Connie Mack.  Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 28, 2012

60% Say Federal Government Does Not Have the Consent of the Governed

Even with Americans poised to pick a president and one-third of the nation’s senators, most voters continue to feel the federal government does not have the official approval of its citizenry. One of the central tenets of the Declaration of Independence is that “governments derive their only just powers from the consent of the governed,” but just 25% of Likely U.S. Voters think the federal government today has that consent. Sixty percent (60%) believe the federal government does not have the consent of the governed. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21-22, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 28, 2012

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 47%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are running closer than ever in Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows Thompson with 48% support to Baldwin’s 47%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 28, 2012

New Hampshire Governor: Lamontagne (R) 48%, Hassan (D) 46%

The race to be New Hampshire's next governor remains a close one. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds Republican Ovide Lamontagne with 48% support to 46% for Democrat Maggie Hassan. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 27, 2012

52% Say It’s Too Easy To Get Food Stamps in U.S.

More than half of Americans now believe it’s too easy to acquire food stamps, and adults now are more likely to blame the government for making it easier to be a food stamp recipient.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that 52% believe it’s too easy for people to get food stamps in this country today. Just 11% think it’s too hard. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say the current level of difficulty for food stamp eligibility is about right. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 20-21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 27, 2012

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney continues to hold a six-point lead in North Carolina with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Barack Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race remains unchanged from a week ago, so North Carolina remains Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections.  In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry North Carolina in over 30 years.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 27, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 27 20120

So where do we stand with Election Day a week-and-a-half away?

The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections show President Obama with 237 Electoral Votes and Mitt Romney with 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

New polling from Florida and Virginia  shows Romney with a two-point advantage in both states. Romney’s also ahead by two in New Hampshire and up by four in Colorado.  The president leads by two in Nevada.  The candidates are tied in Iowa, Ohio and Wisconsin.

October 26, 2012

24% Say Today's Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Americans think today's children will not be better off than their parents, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. But that's down six points from last month and the lowest level of pessimism since July 2009.

Still, only 24% think today's children today will be better off than their parents. However, that's up a point from a month ago and up from 18% a year ago. This finding has generally hovered around 20% for the past three years but dropped into the teens for much of this year. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not sure what the future holds for today's young people. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

 

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 48%

Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen remain deadlocked in Virginia’s U.S. Senate race with Election Day less than two weeks away.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 49% support to Allen’s 48%. Three percent (3%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Mitt Romney still earns 50% of the vote in the key battleground state of Florida, but his lead is smaller.
 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama's 48%. One percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.