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October 27, 2012

North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney continues to hold a six-point lead in North Carolina with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Barack Obama’s 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race remains unchanged from a week ago, so North Carolina remains Leans Romney in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections.  In 2008, Obama was the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry North Carolina in over 30 years.

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 27, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 27 20120

So where do we stand with Election Day a week-and-a-half away?

The Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections show President Obama with 237 Electoral Votes and Mitt Romney with 206. The magic number needed to win the White House is 270. Eight states with 95 Electoral College votes remain Toss-ups: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

New polling from Florida and Virginia  shows Romney with a two-point advantage in both states. Romney’s also ahead by two in New Hampshire and up by four in Colorado.  The president leads by two in Nevada.  The candidates are tied in Iowa, Ohio and Wisconsin.

October 26, 2012

24% Say Today's Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Americans think today's children will not be better off than their parents, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. But that's down six points from last month and the lowest level of pessimism since July 2009.

Still, only 24% think today's children today will be better off than their parents. However, that's up a point from a month ago and up from 18% a year ago. This finding has generally hovered around 20% for the past three years but dropped into the teens for much of this year. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not sure what the future holds for today's young people. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

 

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 48%

Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican George Allen remain deadlocked in Virginia’s U.S. Senate race with Election Day less than two weeks away.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Kaine with 49% support to Allen’s 48%. Three percent (3%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Mitt Romney still earns 50% of the vote in the key battleground state of Florida, but his lead is smaller.
 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Sunshine State finds Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama's 48%. One percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Massachusetts Senate: Warren (D) 52%, Brown (R) 47%

Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren has now moved to a five-point lead over Republican incumbent Scott Brown in Massachusetts’ U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters finds Warren with 52% support to Brown’s 47%. (To see survey question wording, click here.

This race now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

How are you doing in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 26, 2012

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now tied in the critical battleground state of Wisconsin.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows the president and his Republican challenger each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 46%, Smith (R) 45%

The U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is now essentially a tie.
 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. with 46% of the vote, while Republican Tom Smith attracts 45%. Nine percent (9%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Wisconsin May Be the New Ohio By Scott Rasmussen

In Election 2000, Florida was the decisive state in the Electoral College. In 2004, Ohio was the ultimate battleground that put George W. Bush over the top. This year, it might come down to Wisconsin.

October 25, 2012

Arizona: Romney 52%, Obama 44%

Mitt Romney still leads President Obama in Arizona, but the race is tightening.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey of Likely Arizona Voters shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Obama’s 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Britain, Canada Still Seen As Top U.S. Allies

Canada and Great Britain remain the nations most Americans consider this country’s top allies. Iran and North Korea continue to top the enemies list.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 93% of American Adults now consider the northern neighbor of the United States to be an ally. Only one percent (1%) think of Canada as an enemy, and three percent (3%) rate it somewhere in between. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

These two surveys of 1,000 Adults each were conducted on October 16-17, 2012 and October 18-19, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46%

President Obama still earns over 50% of the vote in Pennsylvania.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters shows the president with 51% of the vote to Romney’s 46%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia, but the presidential race remains a toss-up in the Old Dominion.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. Only one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 25, 2012

'Access' to Birth Control Doesn't Count By Froma Harrop

Mitt Romney is running ads explaining that he does not object to birth control. But no one questions his stance that women should have, as the ads say, "access" to contraception. They already do. They also have access to Coach handbags and flights to Acapulco. And that's where the Romney smokescreen, intended to close a gender gap favoring Democrats, needs clearing.

October 25, 2012

Who Won the Debates? 49% Say Romney, 41% Obama

Most voters consider the three presidential debates at least somewhat important to how they will vote, and a plurality of those that watched thinks Mitt Romney was the overall debate winner.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds just eight percent (8%) of Likely U.S. Voters did not watch any of the debates. Sixty-three percent (63%) watched a portion or all of all three debates. Fourteen percent (14%) watched some or all of one of the debates, 15% some or all of two of the prime-time television encounters. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 50%, Berkley (D) 45%

Incumbent Republican Dean Heller continues to earn 50% support against Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in Nevada’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada voters shows Heller with 50% of the vote to Berkley’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

The race remains Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings. President Obama leads Mitt Romney by two points in the state, 50% to 48%. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 25, 2012

Affluent Suburbs Swing to Debate-tested Romney By Michael Barone

Back in May, I wrote a column laying out possible scenarios for the 2012 campaign different from the conventional wisdom that it would be a long, hard slog through a fixed list of target states like the race in 2004.

October 25, 2012

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 50%, Carmona (D) 44%

Republican Congressman Jeff Flake has hit the 50% mark for the first time in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey finds Flake with 50% of the vote to Democrat Richard Carmona’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. This survey was taken following the candidates' recent debate. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 24, 2012

North Dakota Governor: Dalrymple (R) 53%, Taylor (D) 39%

Republican incumbent Jack Dalrymple continues to hold a healthy lead over his Democratic challenger Ryan Taylor in the North Dakota gubernatorial race. 

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters finds Dalrymple earning 53% of the vote to Ryan Taylor's 39%.  Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad. This week’s entries will be accepted until 11:59 p.m. tonight.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 24, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown continues to hold a modest advantage over his Republican challenger, Josh Mandel, in Ohio's U.S. Senate race.
 
 The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Buckeye State finds Brown with 48% support to Mandel's 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge! Answers must be submitted by 11:59pm ET on Wednesday, October 24. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.