White House Watch: Trump 43%, Clinton 42%
Hillary Clinton has rebounded into a virtual tie with Donald Trump in Rasmussen Reports’ latest White House Watch survey.
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July 21, 2016
July 21, 2016
What to Expect When You’re Expecting a Bounce by Geoffrey Skelley
The convention bounce is a long-established pattern in presidential election cycles. Much has been written about it, so we won’t rehash it too much. The main point is that conventions almost always generate an increase in a nominee’s polling numbers during and after his or her convention, but often times the bounce is short-lived. Still, some of that jump in the polls can be maintained; in this environment, a poll bounce will probably signal increased party unity. This is what is important for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton: The former needs to get his support among Republicans up to and beyond 90% in the polls (he’s currently in the 80%-85% range) and the latter needs Sanders supporters, many of whom self-identify as independents, to more firmly back her (most surveys have shown a sizable chunk of Sanders voters still outside Clinton’s camp).
July 20, 2016
Is Pokémon Go Dangerous?
Anyone who’s been outside lately has likely seen the effects of Pokémon Go, the new reality-integrated game sweeping the world. Players use their smartphones to capture Pokémon characters in the real world and train them as in the original Nintendo video games, but not everyone is on board with the latest gaming trend.
July 20, 2016
Ignoring Politicians by John Stossel
My Fox colleagues are in Cleveland, diligently interviewing Republicans. Next week, they'll interview Democrats. I'm glad they do it -- because I despise most politicians.
July 20, 2016
Is Trump's Business Record A Good Fit for the White House?
Republicans and unaffiliated voters tend to see Donald Trump's lifetime of business experience as good training for the White House. Most Democrats do not. GOP voters aren't nearly as worried as the others that Trump's business interests may be a potential conflict of interest problem down the road.
July 20, 2016
Not So Hot in Cleveland By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley
With two nights down at the Republican National Convention and two nights to go, here are five quick observations on Trump TV:
July 20, 2016
Who Gets Absolute Moral Authority? By Michelle Malkin
My 12-year-old son couldn't remember the phrase "take a walk down memory lane" last week, instead describing a stroll through "nostalgia road." I knew it would come in handy.
July 20, 2016
A New Camelot Is Born By Charles Hurt
Behold! A new American political dynasty is born!
Goodnight, Camelot. Move over Bushes and Clintons.
Meet the entire Trump clan.
July 20, 2016
Most GOPers Don’t Favor Suspending ‘Open Carry’ at Convention
Republicans favor laws that allow Americans to wear guns in public but are more closely divided over whether Ohio should temporarily suspend its “open carry” law to prevent any incidents at the GOP national convention in Cleveland.
July 19, 2016
60% Say Race Relations Have Gotten Worse Since Obama’s Election
As the nation reels from angry protests and deadly violence against police officers, voters are more pessimistic than ever about the state of race relations in this country since the election of its first black president.
July 19, 2016
Is the Party Over for Bushism? By Patrick J. Buchanan
Neither George W. Bush, the Republican Party nominee in 2000 and 2004, nor Jeb, the dethroned Prince of Wales, will be in Cleveland. Nor will John McCain or Mitt Romney, the last two nominees.
July 19, 2016
Will Trump's 'Other People's Money' Campaign Prevail Over Clinton's Standard Tactics? By Michael Barone
Donald Trump postponed the announcement of his vice presidential candidate, Mike Pence, because of the terrorist attack in Nice, which was in line with the modus operandi of his campaign. He didn't want to preempt news media coverage of another radical Islamist terrorist attack.
July 19, 2016
The Dumbest Idea by Thomas Sowell
If there were a contest for the most stupid idea in politics, my choice would be the assumption that people would be evenly or randomly distributed in incomes, institutions, occupations or awards, in the absence of somebody doing somebody wrong.
July 19, 2016
Voters Drawn More to GOP’s Convention Than to Democrats’
Voters are more likely to watch some of this week’s Republican National Convention where Donald Trump is expected to be nominated than next week’s Democratic National Convention where Hillary Clinton is likely to triumph.
July 18, 2016
Three-year Low: 21% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Twenty-one percent (21%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending July 14.
July 18, 2016
Voters Question Ryan’s Motives For Blocking Clinton From Top Secrets
Voters tend to think House Speaker Paul Ryan is just making a political move with his call to block presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton from receiving intelligence briefings following the FBI's conclusion that she was “extremely careless” with classified information during her time as secretary of State. But voters trust her Republican rival Donald Trump slightly more when it comes to handling the nation's secrets.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is more likely Ryan is playing politics rather than genuinely trying to protect the government’s secrets. Thirty-eight percent (38%) disagree and think it's more likely Ryan is honestly looking out for national security. Fourteen percent (14%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 14 and 17, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
July 18, 2016
Voters React To Pence As Trump’s Running Mate
Voters insist that vice presidential nominees are important to their vote, but most say Donald Trump’s choice of Indiana Governor Mike Pence as a running mate will not affect how they vote in the fall.
July 16, 2016
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending July 16, 2016
The national political conventions begin next week, with Trump up, Clinton down and Obama still hanging in there.
July 15, 2016
Americans Place Even More Importance on a College Degree
While there’s disagreement over how to help students pay for it, Americans still overwhelmingly believe in the importance of a college degree to gaining employment.
July 15, 2016
Events Roil the 2016 Campaign by Michael Barone
"Events, dear boy, events," the late British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan supposedly replied when asked what he most feared. And events can certainly make a difference, as was apparent this week: Prime Minister David Cameron moved out of No. 10 Downing Street and Theresa May moved in. This came after British voters, against Cameron's advice and contrary to widespread expectations, voted to leave the European Union June 23.
