How We Did
Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch daily tracking poll survey was posted Monday morning. It showed Democrat Hillary Clinton with a two-point advantage over Republican Donald Trump – 45% to 43%. To be precise, it was Clinton 44.8% to Trump 43.1%, a difference of 1.7%.
Obviously Trump won in the Electoral College. But in the popular vote, Clinton appears to have captured 47.8% of the votes cast, Trump 46.9% - a difference of 0.9%.
Our final poll, therefore, appears to be the closest among all pollsters who correctly picked Clinton to win the popular vote. We had Clinton up by 1.7%. In reality, she was up by 0.9%.
Unlike other pollsters, Rasmussen Reports and the other two major daily tracking polls – IBD/TIPP and the Los Angeles Times - showed for weeks that this was a very close race that could go either way. IBD/TIPP and the Los Angeles Times in their final surveys correctly called Trump as the winner of the election, but they also showed him as the winner of the popular vote.
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