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December 2, 2024

53% Now View Trump Favorably

As he prepares to become president for the second time, Donald Trump is viewed more favorably now than he was before first taking office.

November 29, 2024

Black Friday: Expect Bigger Shopping Crowds This Year

Stores should be pretty crowded today, as nearly half of Americans say they’ll be heading out for Black Friday sales.

November 29, 2024

The Groups and Barista Proletariat of the Democratic Party By Michael Barone

Postmortems of the Democratic Party's loss, running well beyond the defeat of Vice President Kamala Harris and Gov. Tim Walz (D-Minn.), are starting to come in from some of the party's most perceptive thinkers.

November 28, 2024

Most Americans Are Thankful This Year

The annual Thanksgiving holiday finds an overwhelming majority of Americans in a grateful mood.

November 27, 2024

Fewer Have Election Cheating Concerns for 2024

Four years after many of Donald Trump’s supporters accused Joe Biden of cheating his way into the White House, fewer voters suspect election shenanigans this time around.

November 27, 2024

Thank You, Property Rights! By John Stossel

As we gather this Thanksgiving, it's easy to take abundance for granted.

November 27, 2024

Yes Nukes! By Stephen Moore

One thing Hollywood is very good at is scaring the bejesus out of Americans -- even when they're merely spreading false fears.

November 26, 2024

More Traveling for Thanksgiving This Year

Holiday gatherings are on the menu for most Americans this Thanksgiving, and more of them will be traveling this year.

November 26, 2024

Trust Matters in Cabinet Picks

President-elect Donald Trump has been criticized for choosing people for Cabinet positions who don’t have experience in federal government positions, but most voters share his attitude about making personal trust a priority.

November 26, 2024

Trump Draws the Map to 2028 By Daniel McCarthy

As they carve their turkeys this year, Republicans can be grateful for Donald Trump, mapmaker.

November 25, 2024

Election 2024: How Did We Do?

The three most important things in polling are accuracy, accuracy and accuracy. Now that the results of the 2024 election are known, we’re happy to report that Rasmussen Reports maintained its standing as one of America’s most accurate polling organizations, according to several metrics. Before we plunge into the numbers, however, let’s explain a few things about what it is we do here on a year-round basis.

November 25, 2024

32% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-two percent (32%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending November 21, 2024.

November 25, 2024

Celebrity Endorsements Had Little Impact in 2024 Election

Kamala Harris had endorsements from Taylor Swift, Robert DeNiro and a galaxy of other pop singers and movie stars, but it turns out most voters don’t let celebrities influence their election choices.

November 23, 2024

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending November 23, 2024

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

November 22, 2024

39% Have Started Holiday Shopping Already

Even though it’s not yet Thanksgiving, many Americans have already begun buying gifts for the holidays.

November 22, 2024

Democrats Now Against One-Party Control

Most voters don’t mind one party controlling both the White House and Congress, but since the election, Democrats are now having second thoughts.

November 22, 2024

Trump Gains Among Nonwhite People: Historical Precedent and Possible Harbinger By Michael Barone

Did anyone expect, when they heard the candidate's announcement at the base of the Trump Tower escalator in June 2015, that nine years later, he would be elected to a second term with sharp increases in Republican percentages from nonwhite people -- Latinos especially, but also Black and Asian people?

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November 22, 2024

How Virginia Illustrates the 2024 Election By J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Kamala Harris carried Virginia by close to 6 points this month. This was worse than Joe Biden’s 10-point showing in the state, although it was slightly better than Hillary Clinton’s performance, even as the latter had a Virginian (Sen. Tim Kaine) on her ticket.

— Much of the state’s movement to Donald Trump can be attributed to a pronounced rightward shift in heavily Democratic Northern Virginia.

— Though she lost ground overall, Harris held on to some of Joe Biden’s 2020 gains in many of the state’s more marginal localities.

— Though it was not a Toss-up state, in some ways, such as its internal swing and voting rhythms, Virginia was in sync with the nation as a whole.

November 21, 2024

Trump’s Cabinet: Voters Expect Senate to Confirm Most Picks

About half of voters think President-elect Trump has done a good job of choosing Cabinet appointments, and nearly three-quarters believe the Senate will confirm most of Trump’s picks.

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November 21, 2024

The 2024 Senate Undervote: Not High By Historical Standards By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— After the election, many took note of some seemingly unusual patterns in the presidential and Senate voting. Some winning Democrats in states that voted for Donald Trump, for instance, received fewer total votes than Kamala Harris, but still won while Harris lost.

— Some voters likely cast votes just in the presidential race, meaning that there were fewer votes cast in a state’s Senate contest compared to its presidential contest.

— However, there is nothing unusual about this compared to recent history. Senate races almost always have fewer votes cast than presidential races in presidential years.

— In fact, the average size of the Senate “undervote” this year was smaller than many other recent cycles.

— The third party vote was generally larger in key Senate races than in the presidential race, which likely also contributed to the outcomes in certain states. But a higher third-party vote for Senate is also not unusual—it was a feature of some of 2020’s closest Senate races, too.