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July 12, 2004

Minnesota: Kerry 50% Bush 41%

In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows of the vote and Senator Kerry with 50% and President Bush with 41%. This 9 point lead is considerably more comfortable for the Senator than Al Gore's 2 point margin of victory in the state four years ago.

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July 12, 2004

New York: Kerry 58% Bush 30%

In New York, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 58% of the vote and President Bush with 30%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin.

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July 12, 2004

Oklahoma: Bush 63% Kerry 31%

In Oklahoma, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 63% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 31%. In Election 2000, Bush won Oklahoma by twenty-two percentage points, beating Al Gore 60% to 38%.

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July 12, 2004

Oregon: Kerry 50% Bush 42%

In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.

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July 11, 2004

GA: Bush 52% Kerry 41%

In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 52% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 41%.

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July 11, 2004

Alabama: Bush 52% Kerry 38%

In Alabama, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush leading by 14 percentage points over Senator Kerry.

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July 11, 2004

Illinois: Kerry 53% Bush 37%

In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote and President Bush with 37%. This is essentially unchanged from a month ago when Kerry was ahead 54% to 37%.

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July 10, 2004

Michigan: Kerry 46% Bush 44%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

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July 10, 2004

Virginia: Bush 48% Kerry 45%

In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.

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July 9, 2004

Pennsylvania: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

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July 8, 2004

Maine: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Maine, the race for the White House is as close as it can be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.

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July 8, 2004

46% Say Bush Will Win

Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 46% of all voters now believe the Bush-Cheney ticket will be re-elected while 44% say the Kerry-Edward team will win.

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July 8, 2004

Edwards Viewed More Favorably Than Cheney

Initial reaction to John Edwards shows that 46% of Likely Voters have a favorable opinion of the Democrat's Vice-Presidential candidate.

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July 8, 2004

Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 44%

In Iowa, President Bush has gained ground over the past month but still trails Senator Kerry 48% to 44%. Our last Iowa survey found Kerry leading by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%.

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July 8, 2004

Missouri: Bush 48% Kerry 44%

In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 44%. Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin.

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July 7, 2004

Massachusetts: Kerry 60% Bush 31%

As the city of Boston prepares to welcome the Democratic Convention, Massachusetts voters prefer their home state Senator over President Bush by a 60% to 31% margin.

Four years ago, without the home state advantage, Al Gore defeated Bush in Massachusetts 60% to 33%. A month ago, the Rasmussen Reports poll found Kerry ahead 58% to 33%.

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July 7, 2004

Texas: Bush 55% Kerry 37%

In Texas, Bush now leads Massachusetts Senator John Kerry 55% to 37%. Four years ago, Bush won his home state 59% to 38%.

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July 7, 2004

Florida: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 and a toss-up for most of Election 2004 is now leaning towards Senator John Kerry.

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July 7, 2004

New Jersey: Kerry 51% Bush 41%

New Jersey looks ready to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.

The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with a ten point lead over President Bush, 51% to 41%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.

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July 6, 2004

North Carolina: Bush 49% Kerry 42%

North Carolina is now home to the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee. However, John Edwards has a lot of work to do if he wants to deliver that state to his party in this year's Presidential election.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with a seven point lead over Senator John F. Kerry, 49% to 42%. The survey was completed in June, before Kerry named Edwards as his running mate.