Toplines - Arizona Bull Moose Feb 2024
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Poll of 1,001 Arizona Likely Voters
Conducted February 21-26, 2024
By Rasmussen Reports and the Bull Moose Project
How
would you rate the job Joe Biden has been doing as President… do you strongly
approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the
job he’s been doing?
26% strongly approve
18% somewhat approve
9% somewhat disapprove
45% strongly disapprove
2% not sure
Asked of 340 Republicans:
Would you say you consider
yourself to be primarily a Trump Republican or do you
consider yourself a traditional Republican?
59% Trump Republican
37% traditional Republican
4% not
sure
Asked of 721 Republicans and Independents:
How likely are you to vote in this year’s Republican Primary
election?
63% very likely
12% somewhat likely
9% not
very likely
9% not
at all likely
7% not
sure
Asked of 469 likely GOP Primary voters:
Republican US Senate candidate Kari Lake has been endorsed by
Former President Donald Trump. Does that
make you more likely or less likely to support her?
51% more likely
20% less likely
28% doesn’t make much difference
1% not
sure
Asked of 469 likely GOP Primary voters:
If the Republican Primary for US Senate were
held today and the candidates were Kari Lake and Mark Lamb, who would you vote
for?
55% Kari Lake
26% Mark Lamb
7% some
other candidate
12% not sure
Thinking about the elections for President and US Senate in
Arizona, which of these is the most important issue to you?
5% violent
crime
28% border security
22% the economy
6% climate
change
10% abortion
8% global
conflicts & war
8% education
11% government corruption
2% other
3% not
sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the
candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who
would you vote for?
40% Joe Biden
47% Donald Trump
8% some
other candidate
1% didn’t
vote
4% not
sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the
candidates were Republican Kari Lake and Democrat Ruben Gallego, who would you vote
for?
45% Kari Lake
42% Ruben Gallego
4%
wouldn’t vote
8%
not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the
candidates were Independent Kyrsten Sinema, Republican Kari Lake
and Democrat Ruben Gallego, who would you vote for?
21% Kyrsten Sinema
37% Kari Lake
33% Ruben Gallego
2% wouldn’t
vote
7% not
sure
Do you agree or disagree with this statement? “The Republican
Party is the Party of Donald Trump and the Make America Great Again movement.”
47% strongly agree
28% somewhat agree
10% somewhat disagree
10% strongly disagree
5% not
sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat
unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Former President Donald Trump?
31% very favorable
19% somewhat favorable
10% somewhat unfavorable
37% very unfavorable
3% not
sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat
unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Republican Kari Lake?
24% very favorable
23% somewhat favorable
9% somewhat
unfavorable
36% very unfavorable
8% not
sure
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat
unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Democrat Ruben Gallego?
19% very favorable
24% somewhat favorable
17% somewhat unfavorable
23% very unfavorable
17% not sure
How likely is it that cheating affected the outcome of the 2020
Presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
29% very likely
16% somewhat likely
13% not very likely
33% not at all likely
10% not sure
How likely is it that cheating will affect the outcome of this
year’s Presidential election?
22% very likely
26% somewhat likely
18% not very likely
27% not at all likely
8% not
sure
Republicans in Arizona say problems with the 2022 election in
Maricopa County prevented many people from voting. How likely is it that these
problems affected the outcome of the election in Arizona?
31% very likely
18% somewhat likely
14% not very likely
30% not at all likely
7% not
sure
How likely is it that 2022 election irregularities in heavily
Republican areas of Arizona happened intentionally to suppress Republican
votes?
29% very likely
21% somewhat likely
11% not very likely
30% not at all likely
9% not
sure
Have government officials done enough to prevent cheating in
elections?
38% yes
47% no
15% not sure
On the question of illegal immigration, is the government doing
too much or too little to reduce illegal border crossings and visitor
overstays? Or is the level of action about right?
9% too
much
67% too little
17% about right
7% not sure
Which political party do you trust more to handle border security?
32% Democrats
53% Republicans
15% not sure
Which political party do you trust more to to handle
the economy?
41% Democrats
52% Republicans
8% not
sure
Do you support or oppose the deportation of immigrants who have
come to America illegally?
44% strongly support
25% somewhat support
14% somewhat oppose
11% strongly oppose
7% not
sure
Do you support or oppose temporarily militarizing the southern
border to relieve Border Patrol agents and stop the flow of illegal immigrants?
42% strongly support
19% somewhat support
11% somewhat oppose
19% strongly oppose
8% not
sure
NOTE: Margin of
Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
