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Are Democratic Voters Feeling the Bern?

Recent polls are showing Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders surging ahead of Hillary Clinton in key states like Iowa and New Hampshire, but are Democratic voters taking this news seriously?

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of Likely Democratic Voters now think Sanders is at least somewhat likely to end up being their party's presidential nominee. That’s up from 36% in September and 23% just after he officially announced his candidacy in May of last year. Still, the latest findings include only 13% who say his nomination is Very Likely, up from four percent (4%) last May. Forty-three percent (43%) still say Sanders is unlikely to be the 2016 Democratic candidate, with 11% who say it is Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 24-25, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

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