Notes on the State of Politics II: A Commentary by Larry J. Sabato
This week, the Crystal Ball publishes another installment in our intermittent series of observations on the 2008 campaign and the politics of the day.
Political Commentary
Most Recent Releases
November 29, 2007
November 28, 2007
Who Benefits From the Huckabee Surge in Iowa?: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
The new Rasmussen Iowa numbers taken together with earlier polls taken by ABC News and the Washington Post, throw many assumptions about the likely result of the Republican Presidential primary into doubt.
November 21, 2007
What is Really Happening in Iowa?: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
The race among Democrats is too close to call. Drawing any finer distinction will drive the analysts to distraction as there are so many polls being done it is impossible to divine a clear trend indicating which way the race is going.
November 15, 2007
Rudy In Trouble Without Iowa Win: A Commentary by Dick Morris
Even as he continues to hold a convincing lead in the national race, Rudy Giuliani may be riding for a big fall in Iowa and the other early state primaries. Mitt Romney, despite his anemic national showing, could sweep Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan, a trifecta that could give him such momentum as to sweep him to the nomination.
November 15, 2007
Another Part of the Bush Legacy in Question?: A Commentary by Rhodes Cook
During his first term, George W. Bush was arguably the most successful party-building president since Franklin D. Roosevelt. Like FDR, who fashioned a Democratic coalition that dominated American politics for a generation, Bush during his first four years in office helped the Republicans post gains in Congress and around the country that many in the party viewed as the cornerstone for a similarly long-lived GOP majority.
November 14, 2007
Why Romney Remains Compelling: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
According to Real Clear Politics, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to enjoy a solid double digit lead in both Iowa and New Hampshire.
November 11, 2007
A Steadfast Conservative, Huckabee Can Win in Iowa: A Commentary by Dick Morris
Mike Huckabee is on a roll. Nationally, I just won my bet with Bill O’Reilly when he broke 10 percent in the latest CNN poll. And in Iowa, he is now running second.
November 8, 2007
Notes on the State of Politics: A Commentary by Larry J. Sabato
We've been away for a while, traveling America discussing our new book, A More Perfect Constitution . These book travels were useful for a political analyst in the presidential season. As usual, politics viewed only through the prism of the Beltway bunch is distorted.
November 5, 2007
Much Ado About Nothing: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
With the publication of two polls this week showing no change in the Democratic nomination for President, it seems clear that Hillary Clinton's position is most likely more secure than many in the media and her opponents would like it to be.
November 2, 2007
The Huckabee Boomlet: A Commentary by Dick Morris
Arkansas ex-Gov. Mike Huckabee is shaking up the Republican race.
November 1, 2007
Is Hillary vs. Rudy Inevitable?: A Commentary by Dick Morris
What if the current polls in Iowa are the final result?
October 31, 2007
Where The Republican Primary Stands Now: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
The Republican Presidential Nomination contest could go any of three or four different directions.
October 22, 2007
Bill O'Reilly Will Probably Owe Dick Morris Dinner - A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
The most recent Rasmussen Republican Presidential primary numbers show Mike Huckabee increasing his share of the vote to 8%.
October 19, 2007
Torture As An Election Issue: A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
Rasmussen Reports recent data sheds light on an important question facing the U.S. as we approach the 2008 election: who will the issue of torture help in the upcoming Presidential election
October 18, 2007
Huckabee is the Right Wing's Last Survivor: A Commentary by Dick Morris
Peel them away and, underneath, you have Mike Huckabee, the last survivor in the elimination tournament of the Christian right. And they could do a whole lot worse!
October 15, 2007
The Mood of the Country Revisited: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
Rasmussen Reports has just issued an important new analysis of data about attitudes toward the leading candidates for President that bears further discussion.
October 12, 2007
What Voters Are Focusing On: A Commentary By Douglas Schoen
"It's the Economy Stupid" remains the manta of the electorate. To be sure, the electorate clearly wants the candidates for President and their elected officials to focus on economic concerns.
October 10, 2007
Where Things Stand (Good News for Democrats): A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
Rasmussen's recent polling suggests compellingly that the Democratic Party maintains an enormously strong advantage over the Republican on all of the indicators that are monitored monthly.
October 8, 2007
Why Bush Has To Compromise on Children's Health - A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
A recently released poll by Rasmussen provides compelling evidence why President Bush used his Saturday radio address to indicate he is prepared to compromise with Congress on funding the State's Children Health Insurance Program.
October 6, 2007
How to Read the Polls: A Commentary by Dick Morris
The polls for the primary and caucuses coming up at the very beginning of 2008 are all over the place.
