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Election 2008: Electoral College Update
Electoral College: Obama 260 McCain 160
Monday, November 03, 2008
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State polling released today has moved Florida from "Leans Democratic" to "Toss-Up" in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Seven states with 92 Electoral College votes remain in the Toss-Up category— Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Nevada, and Ohio. All seven of those states voted Republican four years ago. Three states are only leaning in Obama’s direction at this time—Colorado, New Hampshire, and Virginia. Four years ago, New Hampshire voted Democratic while the other two voted Republican. For McCain to get the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House, he would need to win just about all of the Toss-Up states and those that are leaning to the Democrats. Polling from all ten states show potentially competitive races, but Obama is ahead in many and none show a clear lead for McCain.
This Balance of Power Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Data inputs include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms (the “538 Average”), Rasmussen Markets data, Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history and national trends. As a practical matter, all of the state-by-state changes are driven by the changes seen nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. The table is updated daily. Recent changes include:
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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