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Rhode Island
GOP Incumbents Struggle in Blue State
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Rhode Island Senator Lincoln Chafee (R) continues to have a very tough row to hoe in his reelection battle, and fails to reach 50% support against his likely Democratic opponent. He also faces a stiff challenge for the Republican nomination from Cranston Mayor Steve Laffey.

When voters are asked about prospective match-ups, Chafee narrowly leads the likely Democratic candidate, former Attorney General Sheldon Whitehouse, by 44% to 41%, a tossup (see crosstabs). Another Democrat, Secretary of State Matt Brown, dropped out of the race in late April.

Rhode Island is one of the more critical states in the electoral competition for control of the United States Senate. If this very Blue State retains its Republican Senator, prospects for a Democratic takeover of the Senate are greatly diminished.

Chafee's Primary Election challenger, Mayor Laffey, trails Whitehouse by 19 percentage points, 51% to 32%. If Laffey wins the Republican Primary, this Senate seat is very likely to shift from the GOP to the Democrat's column.

One more troubling sign for Senator Chafee is that Laffey does better among Republicans in the General Election match-ups against Whitehouse. Laffey earns 70% of the GOP vote while Chafee gets just 60%. However, in Rhode Island, unaffiliated voters can participate in the primary and Chafee does better than Whitehouse among such voters.

The gubernatorial incumbent is also struggling. Republican Governor Donald Carcieri is neck and neck with Lieutenant Governor Charles Fogarty, a Democrat. Carcieri attracts 41% of the vote to Fogarty's 42%.

Rhode Islanders are more likely than voters in many other states to agree that the children of illegal aliens should be granted automatic citizenship. Forty-one percent (41%) say Yes, 48% say No.

Still, 68% agree that before we tackle new reforms of immigration, we should first secure our borders and enforce current immigration law.

Even in Rhode Island, one of the nation's most liberal states, 50% say that, generally speaking, tax cuts help the economy. A slight majority (51%) say tax paperwork is more traumatic than going to the dentist; 32% say the dentist is worse.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
April 26, 2006

Election 2006:
Rhode Island Senate

Lincoln Chafee (R)

44%

Sheldon Whitehouse (D)

41%

Election 2006:
Rhode Island Senate

Steve Laffey (R)

32%

Sheldon Whitehouse (D)

51%

Election 2006:
Rhode Island Governor

Donald Carcieri (R)

41%

Charles Fogarty (D)

42%

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