Missouri: Bush 44% Kerry 43%

Thursday, June 03, 2004

In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds a race that is too close to call. President George W. Bush attracts 44% of the vote to 43% for Senator John F. Kerry.

Four years ago, Bush won the state of Missouri by a narrow 50% to 47% margin. While there are a few exceptions, most of our state polls this year reflect results similar to those from four years ago. A Rasmussen Reports survey in March found Bush with a 7-point lead in Missouri.

At this point in time, our daily Tracking Poll shows the race is also too close to call on a national basis.. The national poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Missouri voters Approve of the way Bush is performing his job as President.

In Missouri, there is a huge gender gap with Bush leading among men and Kerry leading among women. Bush also leads among Investors while Kerry leads among non-Investors.

Data for Missouri will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the states of Georgia, Illinois, New York, Texas, California and Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except Mothers’ Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
May 1-31, 2004

Missouri 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	44%
Kerry	43%
Other	5%
Not Sure	8%
RasmussenReports.com

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