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Iowa: Kerry 48% Bush 44%
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In Iowa, President Bush has gained ground over the past month but still trails Senator Kerry 48% to 44%. Our last Iowa survey found Kerry leading by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%.

As a result, we are moving Iowa from "Leans Kerry" to the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections. Four years ago, Al Gore narrowly carried Iowa by a 49% to 48% margin.

Kerry became the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination by winning the Iowa caucuses. Iowa Governor Thomas Vilsack was reportedly on the short-list that Kerry is considering for his Vice-Presidential running mate.

Kerry has secured the vote from 89% of Iowa Democrats while Bush has done the same with 86% of the state's Republicans. Among those who are not affiliated with either political party, Kerry leads 43% to 39%.

In Iowa, 54% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up nine points down a point from a month ago and slightly above his national Job Approval rating.

Among voters who are not affiliated with either major political party, 58% give the President's performance their Approval.

Data for Iowa will be updated again early next month. Our recent state releases included Alabama, Arkansas, California, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia, and Washington.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
June 1-30, 2004

Iowa 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

44%

Kerry

48%

Other

3%

Not Sure

5%

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