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Iowa: Bush 48% Kerry 46%
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The latest Rasmussen Reports polling data shows President George W. Bush leading Senator John Kerry in Iowa 48% to 46%. That's well within the survey's margin of sampling error.

Kerry was ahead in Iowa for most of the year until the Republican National Convention. Since then, weekly updates provided to Premium Members have generally shown Bush ahead by 1-3 percentage points.

During Election 2000, Al Gore won a narrow 49% to 48% victory in Iowa. This latest survey data keeps Iowa in the "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections.

Along with Minnesota and Wisconsin, Iowa is one of a few states that the Bush campaign hopes to convert from the Democratic column in 2000 to the GOP column in this year's competition.

Fifty-four percent (54%) of Iowa voters have a favorable opinion of President Bush while 51% say the same about Senator Kerry. Those figures are similar to the national numbers for the two candidates at this time.

In Iowa, 52% of all voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's down a point from our last release and still below his national Job Approval rating.

Early in the year, President Bush's Approval Ratings remained extremely low in Iowa as Democratic Presidential hopefuls camped in the state and campaigned aggressively for the first competition in the 2004 campaign season.

Rasmussen Reports has recently released state election polls for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Washington, Virginia, and Wisconsin.

Rasmussen Reports Premium Members receive daily tracking updates for Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. They also receive weekly updates for 15 other states plus other supplemental information. A full year subscription is available for just $95.

To keep up with our latest releases, be sure to visit the Rasmussen Reports Home Page. The left hand column on that page shows our most recent releases along with a schedule of upcoming releases. The right hand column provides a convenient summary of our latest political data. If you need to find information we've released over the past couple of weeks, visit our Other Recent Releases page.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 400 Likely Voters
Oct 9-22, 2004

Iowa 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

48%

Kerry

46%

Other

3%

Not Sure

4%

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