Illinois: Kerry 54% Bush 38%

Thursday, June 03, 2004

In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry leading President George W. Bush 54% to 38%.

Our previous survey in Illinois found Kerry with a much narrower 5-point lead. However, the current results are very similar to our March survey which found Kerry leading 52% to 39%. Four years ago, Al Gore carried Illinois by a 12-point margin, 55%-43%.

Just 44% of Illinois voters Approve of the way Bush is performing his job as President. That represents a five-point drop from our previous survey. The President's ratings in Illinois are several points lower than his national Job Approval ratings.

While Kerry holds a comfortable lead in Illinois, the race remains a toss-up on the national level.

Data for Illinois will updated again early next month. Rasmussen Reports has also recently released polling data for the states of New York, Texas, California and Ohio. Other state polling data will be released each day this week.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

This data has been compiled from a national telephone survey of 15,000 Likely Voters conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 1-31, 2004. Each night (except Mothers' Day), 500 interviews with Likely Voters were conducted. National results for the survey during that time frame show that President Bush and Senator Kerry each attracted 45% of the vote. State-by-state samples carry a margin of error that varies from +/- 3 percentage points to +/- 5 percentage points depending upon the state. Data for California, Texas, and New York carries a 3 percentage point margin of error. For Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Michigan, the margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. For all other states, the margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. In all cases, the margin of error is expressed with a 95% level of confidence. In some states, oversampling and supplemental interviews were used to obtain an adequate sample size for reporting purposes.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004

Illinois 2004 Presidential Ballot
Bush	38%
Kerry	54%
Other	2%
Not Sure	6%
RasmussenReports.com

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