Toplines - Pennsylvania Presidential Election - May 21, 2008

Pennsylvania

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

May 21, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

13% Excellent

14% Good

17% Fair

55% Poor

1% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Ed Rendell his performing his role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

13% Excellent

28% Good

36% Fair

23% Poor

1% Not sure

3* 2008 Presidential General Election Match-Ups

McCain	39%	McCain	43%
Clinton	50%	Obama	45%
Other	8%	Other	7%
Not sure	3%	Not sure	5%

4* Favorable Ratings

	Clinton	Obama	McCain
Very Favorable	22%	30%	12%
Somewhat Favorable	30%	21%	37%
Somewhat Unfavorable	23%	19%	26%
Very Unfavorable	24%	29%	21%
Not sure	1%	1%	3%

5* When thinking about how you will vote in the presidential election, which of the following issues is most important—the economy, the War in Iraq, immigration, national security, health care, Social Security, or government ethics and corruption?

50% Economy

17% War in Iraq

6% Immigration

7% National security

7% Health care

2% Social Security

6% Government ethics and corruption

1% Some other issue

4% Not sure

6* We’re just about finished… John McCain recently gave a speech saying that-- if he is elected President—the United States will win the War in Iraq during his first term in office. McCain also said that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office. If you had to choose just one of those goals as the higher priority, would you rather see the United States win the War in Iraq or get the troops home from Iraq within four years?

33% Win the war

59% Get the troops home

8% Not sure

7* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

16% Very likely

28% Somewhat likely

27% Not very likely

22% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

8* Okay… if Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

6% Very likely

14% Somewhat likely

38% Not very likely

35% Not at all likely

7% Not sure

9* Fine… If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

15% Very likely

23% Somewhat likely

32% Not very likely

22% Not at all likely

8% Not sure

10* Great… If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

26% Very likely

31% Somewhat likely

22% Not very likely

15% Not at all likely

5% Not sure

11* Should Hillary Clinton drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

34% Yes

51% No

15% Not sure

12* Should Barack Obama drop out of the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination?

24% Yes

67% No

9% Not sure

13* Which candidate would do better against John McCain in the general election…Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton?

42% Obama

40% Clinton

19% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence