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Election 2008: Pennsylvania Presidential Election
Pennsylvania: Obama 52% McCain 46%

John McCain has closed the gap in Pennsylvania over the past few weeks, but still finds himself trailing Barack Obama by six points on the final weekend of Election 2008.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state shows Obama with 52% of the vote while McCain picks up 46%. That’s little changed from polling conducted on Thursday night and earlier in the week. However, it does reflect a significantly tighter race compared to Obama’s 13-point advantage earlier in the month.

Nationally, Obama continues to hold a modest but steady lead in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in the Electoral College projections.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 56%, McCain by 55%. Those figures reflect a five-point improvement for McCain from the beginning of the month and a three-point decline for Obama.

Still, 51% of Pennsylvania voters say they trust Obama more than McCain when it comes to the economy. Forty-five percent (45%) hold the opposite view and trust McCain more.

In Pennsylvania and around the country, economic issues are rated as the highest priority of Election 2008. Nationally, the Rasmussen Consumer Index showed consumer and investor confidence falling to record lows in mid-October before improving slightly over the past two weeks.

Governor Ed Rendell, a Democrat, is given good or excellent grades for his job performance by 44%, but 22% rate his performance as poor.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, while 55% say his performance is poor.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-160. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-160.

 

Recent statewide Presidential polls have been released for Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida,Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine,Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada,New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina,Ohio,Oregon, Pennsylvania,South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin.

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This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Pennsylvania Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/01/2008

46%

52%

47%

51%

46%

53%

41%

54%

42%

50%

45%

49%

45%

48%

47%

47%

45%

47%

40%

45%

42%

47%

42%

46%

43%

45%

44%

43%

39%

47%

44%

43%

39%

49%

46%

38%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Pennsylvania

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

32%

40%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

22%

11%

Very Unfavorable

23%

31%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.