Toplines - Arizona Presidential Election - July 30, 2008

Arizona General Election

Survey of 500 Likely Voters

July 30, 2008

1* How do you rate the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

14% Excellent

20% Good

22% Fair

43% Poor

1% Not sure

2* How do you rate the way that Janet Napolitano is performing her role as Governor? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?

20% Excellent

27% Good

26% Fair

27% Poor

0% Not sure

3* If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Republican John McCain or Democrat Barack Obama?

	Without Leaners	With Leaners
McCain	52%	57%
Obama	36%	38%
Other	5%	2%
Not sure	7%	3%

4* Favorable Ratings

	Obama	McCain
Very Favorable	25%	27%
Somewhat Favorable	18%	44%
Somewhat Unfavorable	21%	13%
Very Unfavorable	34%	13%
Not sure	3%	3%

5* In terms of how you will vote for President, are you primarily interested in National Security issues such as the War with Iraq and the War on Terror, Economic issues such as jobs and economic growth, Domestic Issues like Social Security and Health Care, Cultural issues such as same-sex marriage and abortion, or Fiscal issues such as taxes and government spending?

29% National Security Issues

38% Economic Issues

12% Domestic Issues

5% Cultural Issues

10% Fiscal Issues

6% Not sure

6* The Arizona Civil Rights Initiative, which will be on the ballot in November, proposes amending the state constitution to prohibit state government from discriminating on the basis of race, sex or ethnicity. If the election were held today would you vote for or against the Arizona Civil Rights Initiative?

46% For

27% Against

27% Not sure

7* What is more important, reducing the price of gas and oil or protecting the environment?

55% Reducing the price of gas and oil

35% Protecting the environment
9% Not sure

8* Who is winning the War on Terrorism…the United States and its allies or the terrorists?

59% United States and its allies

18% Terrorists

17% Neither

7% Not sure

9* Is Iraq the central front in the War on Terror?

30% Yes

47% No

23% Not sure

10* Is Afghanistan the central front in the War on Terror?

41% Yes

32% No

26% Not sure

11* Which is a greater threat to the security of the United States—Iraq or Afghanistan?

31% Iraq

37% Afghanistan

33% Not sure

12* When covering a political campaign, do most reporters try to offer unbiased coverage or do they try to help the candidate they want to win?

19% Offer unbiased coverage
72% Try to help the candidate they want to win
9% Not sure

13* Looking ahead to the campaign between Barack Obama and John McCain, will most reporters try to help Barack Obama, offer unbiased coverage, or try to help John McCain?

58% Try to help Barack Obama
16% Offer unbiased coverage
11% Try to help John McCain
16% Not sure

14* Despite current difficulties, does the United States still have the best economy in the world?

49% Yes

41% No

10% Not sure

15* When covering economic issues, do most reporters and media outlets try to make the economy seem worse than it really is, better than it really is, or do they present an accurate picture of the economy?

51% Worse than it really is

20% Better than it really is

20% They present and accurate picture

8% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence