If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Arizona: McCain Leads By Nine in Home State

Since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the race for the White House, Barack Obama has enjoyed a bounce in the national polls and in many state polls. John McCain’s home state of Arizona is no exception, though the presumptive Republican nominee still enjoys a decent lead in the state.

In April, McCain led Obama by twenty points. Now, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 40%. Six percent (6%) say they’ll vote for some other candidate and 5% remain undecided. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say McCain is too old to be President while 50% say Obama is too inexperienced.

McCain leads by twenty-seven points among men but trails by six among women. The Arizona Senator is supported by 81% of Republicans and enjoys a twelve point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama gets the vote from 75% of Democrats.

Overall, McCain is viewed favorably by 60% of Arizona voters, Obama by 47%.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is given a % chance of winning his home state this November. The state has voted Republican in every election but one since 1952. It is currently rated as “Likely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Forty-seven percent (47%) say it is more important for the U.S. to win the war in Iraq than to get the troops home. A virtually identical number—46%--disagree and say that getting the troops home is more important. Nationally, a slight majority believes it is more important to get the troops home.

Sixty-one percent (61%) say that offshore oil drilling should be allowed and just 29% disagree. These figures are close to the national average. Over the past week, Obama has convinced some Democrats that offshore drilling is a bad idea but support for the concept remains strong among Republicans and unaffiliated voters. In Arizona, 54% believe drilling will lower gas prices.

Currently, most Americans say the price of gas could top $5 a gallon this year. Only a third believe it is likely to reach $6 or fall below $4.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Arizona voters say that the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. That is very similar to the national average. Only 17% believe the government today represents the will of the people.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Arizona Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

51%

54%

52%

Obama (D)

46%

40%

39%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Arizona Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/26/2008

51%

46%

09/29/2008

59%

38%

07/31/2008

52%

36%

06/25/2008

49%

40%

04/152007

57%

37%

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Arizona

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

32%

35%

Somewhat Favorable

27%

14%

Somewhat Unfavorable

16%

10%

Very Unfavorable

24%

40%

Not Sure

2%

1%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.