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Arizona: McCain Leads By Nine in Home State

Since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the race for the White House, Barack Obama has enjoyed a bounce in the national polls and in many state polls. John McCain’s home state of Arizona is no exception, though the presumptive Republican nominee still enjoys a decent lead in the state.

In April, McCain led Obama by twenty points. Now, the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 40%. Six percent (6%) say they’ll vote for some other candidate and 5% remain undecided. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say McCain is too old to be President while 50% say Obama is too inexperienced.

McCain leads by twenty-seven points among men but trails by six among women. The Arizona Senator is supported by 81% of Republicans and enjoys a twelve point lead among unaffiliated voters. Obama gets the vote from 75% of Democrats.

Overall, McCain is viewed favorably by 60% of Arizona voters, Obama by 47%.

Forty-seven percent (47%) say it is more important for the U.S. to win the war in Iraq than to get the troops home. A virtually identical number—46%--disagree and say that getting the troops home is more important. Nationally, a slight majority believes it is more important to get the troops home.

Sixty-one percent (61%) say that offshore oil drilling should be allowed and just 29% disagree. These figures are close to the national average. Over the past week, Obama has convinced some Democrats that offshore drilling is a bad idea but support for the concept remains strong among Republicans and unaffiliated voters. In Arizona, 54% believe drilling will lower gas prices.

Currently, most Americans say the price of gas could top $5 a gallon this year. Only a third believe it is likely to reach $6 or fall below $4.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Arizona voters say that the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests. That is very similar to the national average. Only 17% believe the government today represents the will of the people.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Arizona Trends: McCain vs. Obama















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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.