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White House Watch: Booker Runs Close Second to Trump

Friday, June 21, 2019

Cory Booker is close to a Spartacus moment in the latest White House Watch survey, pitting the New Jersey senator against President Trump in a hypothetical 2020 election matchup.

The new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds Trump with 45% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Booker’s 43%. Twelve percent (12%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The deciding factor is the 20% who don’t know enough about Booker right now to express any kind of opinion of him, so his challenge like most others in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination is upping his name recognition.

Among the 80% of likely voters who are willing to venture an opinion of Booker, 39% view him favorably, 41% unfavorably. This includes 12% with a Very Favorable opinion and 26% with a Very Unfavorable one.

Given the large number of candidates entering the race for next year’s Democratic nomination, Rasmussen Reports has opted to run a series of matchups over two-week cycles as the contest continues to develop. These longer cycles mean the matchup findings will be based on 5,000 respondents rather than the usual 1,000 for our regular surveys, and they lower the margin of error. See the results in surveys so far.

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The survey of 5,000 Likely Voters was conducted June 9-13 and 16-20, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Democrats identify more with Joe Biden than with Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the young firebrand who increasingly seems to be setting the party’s agenda. Biden is leading the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

In the matchup with Booker, Trump earns 81% support among his fellow Republicans and picks up 17% of the Democratic vote. Booker has just 70% Democrat support. The two are tied among voters not affiliated with either major party.

Booker, who is black, has a sizable advantage over the incumbent among blacks and leads among other minority voters. Trump is the clear leader among whites.

With unemployment for black Americans at an historic low, voters continue to believe Trump has been better for young blacks than President Obama. But voters also still feel the government could do more and don’t think Trump’s rotten relationship with black members of Congress helps.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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