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Generic Congressional Ballot Nearly Tied Up

Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Republicans and Democrats are running neck-and-neck on the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot again this week.

The latest telephone and online survey finds that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-two percent (42%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

This is unchanged from last week and is the closest the ballot has been all year. Two weeks ago, the Democrats held a six-point lead. 

Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Wednesdays at 8:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted on May 21-25, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

In the U.S. House of Representatives, all 435 seats are on November’s ballot. Republicans now have a 47-seat majority in the House, so Democrats would need to take away 24 GOP seats to gain control. The big problem is that all but about 50 of the seats are shoo-ins for the party that now holds them.

In the U.S. Senate, 32 seats are up for grabs this November, but 23 of them are now held by Democrats. So Democrats need to hold all 23 of those and pick up two of the Republican seats to win control of the Senate. 

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is considering cancelling the Senate's month-long August recess in order to get more work done. If there’s one thing Republicans and Democrats can agree on, it’s that Congress spends too much time away from Capitol Hill. 

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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