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Democrats Hold Lead Again This Week

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Democrats still have the advantage in this week’s Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot.

The latest telephone and online survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty percent (40%) would opt for the Republican. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This marks little change from this time last month. Democrats have consistently led by several points since the first of the year

Beginning with today’s survey, Rasmussen Reports will update the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Wednesdays at 8:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.

From 2007 through 2015, Rasmussen Reports asked generic ballot questions on a weekly basis, and voters were closely or evenly divided between the two parties for most of 2014 and 2015.  

Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted on May 6-10, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

In the U.S. House of Representatives, all 435 seats are on November’s ballot. Republicans now have a 47-seat majority in the House, so Democrats would need to take away 24 GOP seats to gain control. The big problem is that all but about 50 of the seats are shoo-ins for the party that now holds them.

In the U.S. Senate, 32 seats are up for grabs this November, but 23 of them are now held by Democrats. So Democrats need to hold all 23 of those and pick up two of the Republican seats to win control of the Senate. 

Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Republicans and 85% of Democrats back the candidate from their respective parties on the latest generic ballot. Voters not affiliated with either major party are almost evenly divided, but one-out-of-three (32%) of these voters either like some other candidate or are undecided.

Women and those under 40 prefer the Democrat by double-digits. Men and older voters trend Republican.

The GOP candidate has a six-point lead among whites. The Democrat is far ahead among black and other minority voters.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of voters who Strongly Approve of the job President Trump is doing support the Republican. Among voters who Strongly Disapprove of the president’s job performance, 85% favor the Democrat.

Forty-one percent (41%) of all voters say the country is headed in the right direction.This figure ran in the mid- to upper 20s for most of President Obama’s last year in office.

The Rasmussen Reports Consumer Spending Update finds consumer confidence climbing higher. Confidence in the job market remains near record highs.

Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation of the 2016 election is driving Republicans to vote this year for candidates endorsed by Trump.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

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To learn more about our methodology, click here.